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What are the expectations for the other main European states right now?

I know for Germany, it's 1.0%.

What about France, Italy, Spain and Poland?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Dec 5th, 2005 at 04:13:25 PM EST
The expectation for France has actually been increased from 1.4% to 1.6-1.8% if I remember correctly. Spain has 3+% growth. Italy, not so sure.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Mon Dec 5th, 2005 at 06:25:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
According to the EU Commission's November calculations, it will only be 0.8% in Germany in 2005. Finance Minister Hans Eichel had a sad record of overestimated economic growth and, hence, huge budget holes.
by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Tue Dec 6th, 2005 at 03:32:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Commission report you refer to was released November 17th - but I am using newer extrapolations based on the detailed Q3 GDP data released 22 November by Destatis. (If you add up the numbers - Kettenindex, I chose seasonally not adjusted -, Q1-Q3/2005 GDP already grew 0.84% over Q1-Q3/2004.)

Altough I'd like to see the Q3-numbers-updated predictions for Spain, Poland and Italy too (especially the latter), for now here are the expected 2005 GDP growth figures in the report you led me to:

  • Spain: +3.4%
  • Italy: +0.2%
  • Poland: +3.4%


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Dec 6th, 2005 at 06:21:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I also found a 30 November EU collection of Q3 GDP data. I didn't knew Finland is (was) in trouble!

(I also saw Hungary's is missing - checked the Hungarian statistical office's page, learnt it will only be released three days from now; but also found that in October, the revised 2004 data was released - with an up-revision by 0.4% to 4.6%! Maybe the ongoing deficit spending here is not a total failure...)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Tue Dec 6th, 2005 at 06:38:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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