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A very interesting diary. An example of newsworthy reporting at the least.

This whole Iranian issue always catches my attention, partly because I come from the region that can be potentially affected by any kind of Iran-third country military conflict. Although I am currently an undergrad at the American University in Bulgaria, my origins lie in the great vastness of Northern Kazakhstan... [Please, forgive me this short instance of emotional weakness.]

Iran and Turkey have had an expanding, and sometimes colliding, geo-strategic interest in the newly independent Central-Asian republics.  

The issue's prominence in my worldnews lookout is also explained by the fact that it's been only a couple of months since I finished reading a book on Central Asian geo-politics, which I am happy to recommend to those interested. It was Lutz Kleveman's "The New Great Game: Blood and Oil in Central Asia" (Grove Press, 2004). [The link is not meant to be a promotion of the site, just have a look at the reviews of the book.]

The highlight of the read for me was the chapter, in which the author claimed that the inclusion of Iran in the Bush administration's axis-of-evil list of rouge states was, in fact, a signal sent to the Central Asian capitals (esp. Astana). It meant that any association with Iran would lead to complications in these countries' political as well as economic relations with the US. Oil was at the core of this diplomatic maneuver, of course. [For more details, address the book.]

Last week, however, I got an alternative explanation for the US crackdown on Iran over its alleged nuclear aspirations, which takes the argument to the realm of economics or, rather, international political economy. You can find 2 articles here that lay it out in detail.

[While one of the sources may seem of doubtful quality - and I apologize for that - the other one, written by an Economics professor at my university, parallels the line of argument. So there should be some legitimacy to the political events taking place in the Middle East.]

I would love to hear what y'all think about this.

by serik berik (serik[dot]berik on Gmail) on Sun Jan 29th, 2006 at 08:50:08 PM EST
in the second to last sentence I meant to write "...legitimacy to this explanation of the political events..."

Regards.

A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government -- Edward Abbey

by serik berik (serik[dot]berik on Gmail) on Sun Jan 29th, 2006 at 08:57:52 PM EST
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Thank you Serik Berik! The links you provided are indeed food for thought although I don't believe that the nuclear issue and Iran can be monolithically explained by the Iranians intent on starting up a new Oil Bourse.

In my view Central Asia is very much the place to look at in the future, because I believe that many foreign policy issues will have its roots in that area, both hidden and public. Many Central Asian republics have a great potential economically with their oil and gas resources and big powers like the US, Russia, China and some neighbouring Middle Eastern countries have shown great interest of the area both economically and geo-strategically.  I just hope that a new power play between the big powers in the area can be avoided, but unfortunatly, as matters stands today, that do not seem very likely.    

Bitsofnews.com Giving you the latest bits.

by Gjermund E Jansen (gjans1@hotmail.com) on Mon Jan 30th, 2006 at 11:27:44 AM EST
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