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According to a Gallup survey, cited in the Bulgarian media, the Sofia mayor has the highest rating in the country (70%), and is followed by President Purvanov. Of course, this is not a surprise for anyone.

What I find more interesting is that despite the recent scandals in the Parliament and "Attack" constantly having its members leave the parliamentary group, the trust in Volen Siderov and his party is also increasing. However,sociologists claim that the nationalists cannot do better than that in the future, because their potential has already more or less exhausted.

I can resist anything but temptation.- Oscar Wilde

by Little L (ljolito (at) gmail (dot) com) on Mon Mar 27th, 2006 at 04:49:08 PM EST
How are parties doing in the current polls, BTW? How high did Attack climb, and was the potential of Borissov's announced party measured yet?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Mar 27th, 2006 at 04:53:40 PM EST
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If elections were to be held today, 44.1% would not vote. The Socialist Party would get 22.8, and "Attack" would be second with 9.1%. But as I said, this is the most they could get, according to sociologists. The National Movement for Rights and Freedoms (the Turkish party) would take 5.1%. The highest price in participating in the triple ruling coalition pays Simeon's party, which would only get 5.1% of the votes.

And then, the crisis on the right is deepening even more with the UDF being able to get only 2.8%, which means that if elections were today, it would not even get into the Parliament.

I can resist anything but temptation.- Oscar Wilde

by Little L (ljolito (at) gmail (dot) com) on Mon Mar 27th, 2006 at 05:19:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks. This situation sucks big-time. So attack is potentially 16.3% of votes... and a fifth of a proportionally elected parliament!...

2.8%/0.559 = 5.01%, so UDF is right at the limit.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Mar 27th, 2006 at 05:53:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah right...forgot about multiplication:-)!

I can resist anything but temptation.- Oscar Wilde
by Little L (ljolito (at) gmail (dot) com) on Tue Mar 28th, 2006 at 03:24:22 AM EST
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I still have no data measuring the potential of Borissov's party, maybe we need to wait till June to see if he is really going to create one.

I can resist anything but temptation.- Oscar Wilde
by Little L (ljolito (at) gmail (dot) com) on Mon Mar 27th, 2006 at 05:24:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I also noticed that the trust in Volen Siderov (or as we call him for fun "the Furer":)) is increasing. He seems to be persuasive for my surprise. I think it is all because he touches a very sensible issue for the Bulgarians- their national identity. And since Bulgarians have some inborn hatred towards Turks (because of the five century slavery in the past) it is easy to manipulate mediocre people that are in need of something to believe in.

 As far as I noticed his supporters are not quite intelligent. I watched the rally you mentioned (on the 3rd of March) and the regional representatives that talked in front of the people were, I would dare to say, uneducated.

Generally, I don't think he will succeed in overthrowing the government or let alone become a president.

by Denny on Tue Mar 28th, 2006 at 04:34:01 AM EST
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I don't think he is persuasive, but he is different, and this is what makes him attractive. He is the demagogue of the crowd, hence the considerable turnout on the rally for the March 3.

I started reading one of his books yesterday night. Frankly said, I am having a lot of fun. I need to admit, however, that for an uneducated person with a mediocre knowledge of politics, his arguments could make any sense.

I can resist anything but temptation.- Oscar Wilde

by Little L (ljolito (at) gmail (dot) com) on Tue Mar 28th, 2006 at 04:43:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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