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A historical pattern specific to Britain is just that, specific to Britain. Plenty of places transited to a capitalist agricultural framework without the peasants leaving the land (think France in the wake of the Revolution), and the single most brutal example of forced urbanization and industrialization was in the context of the elimination of capitalism - i.e. Stalinism.
Eventually this "right to live off of the land" will have to supercede capitalism. Capital today is out of control, and the people will have to rein it in (at some point). The reining-in of capital will create a struggle in which, for the majority to win, decentralized, community-based economics will have to become a way of life for most everyone.
So, we use the state to coercively enact a complete makeover in the economy and social geography. And if the 'majority' doesn't choose to vote for this plan? There is as far as I can tell no large scale movement among urban dwellers to turn themselves into peasants practising subsistence agriculture. What there is, is a clamour for better housing, better access to utilities, health care, more money with which to buy stuff. Plenty of people want to 'rein in capital', but not for your purpose.
Such a movement will start by guaranteeing all the right to grow food. This can be done through the proliferation of community gardens in unused spaces in parks and parking lots.
Quite common in Communist Europe. Mostly abandoned the moment you could get stuff in stores. It is also common among the poor urban dwellers of the Third World - i.e. those who cannot afford to buy food. You suggest it would be better for everybody to live like that? I doubt many people do.
So, we use the state to coercively enact a complete makeover in the economy and social geography. And if the 'majority' doesn't choose to vote for this plan? There is as far as I can tell no large scale movement among urban dwellers to turn themselves into peasants practising subsistence agriculture.
And as for the idea that it's better to "get stuff in stores" -- Couldn't the "local is better" thing make a comeback when Peak Oil drives the price of transporting food from countryside to city out of sight? What about the knowledge of pernicious factory-farming processes used in industrial food production? Won't that encourage food-growing? See Michael Pollin's The Omnivore's Dilemma for more on the latter... "Imagine all the people/ Sharing all the world" -- John Lennon
Why should it? More expensive, sure, but that's not at all the same thing.
Are you imagining a world where all humans have access to stuff from local stores--at prices they can afford?
I don't know the numbers. Does anyone know what percentage of the world's population currently has the money to buy stuff from stores--
And by stuff I suppose you mean more than just food, but I'd start at food: what percentage of the world's population buys its food in stores, and what percentage could in the future? Does it get anywhere close to 100%
And an added question: what work will people do to get the money for their food? I ask because in a conversation elsewhere on the internet there arose the key point that "making more stuff" cannot continue indefinitely (due to raw materials.)
I'd be interested if you could tease out your association "growing food" = "living like peasants from the past". I don't grow my own food and never have (well, I grew a potato into a plant once....but it didn't have any baby potatoes...), but from what I read, gardening doesn't have to be an all-day, every day arduous business. I like the idea of planting edible crops everywhere--at present we couldn't eat them, perhaps, because of ambient pollution in cities, but in principle, the difference between a non-edible plant and an edible plant...is that I can eat the latter.
Re: forcing people off the land, it seems there is a history of this, and that the people forced off their land fought against this...maybe not everywhere--northern europe may not be a good example of living it large on the land (cold, wet, fewer crop cycles per year etc...) But my reading (not extensive) has lead me to understand that the idea that people are going to the cities out of a Dick Wittington-esque desire for the good life doesn't match the facts. So I'd be interested in more facts either way. I suppose one easy way would be to look at the reasons for population migrations to the largest cities, and those expanding quickest. Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
I don't believe that to be true. That is I think that certain materials will run out, meaning less of some stuff, replacement of other stuff, but I don't believe that there's any underlying 'ecological reality' that forces us to accept that your average westerner will have to live at the standard of living of the average person in Bolivia, and that there is little scope for improvement for the latter in the medium term. In the same way that I don't believe it when certain right wingers say the same thing, arguing from 'economic realities'. Again, there are such things as economic constraints, but socio-economic systems are primarily a product of politics, power, technology, and values, rather than the result of some 'natural' economic or ecological order.
As for the rest - no, the kind of urban gardening where people grow some vegetables that they couldn't otherwise get to supplement whatever starches that provide the bulk of their calories doesn't require anywhere near a full time commitment. Nor does it require all that much land, though still more than exists in many cities. Actually growing enough to provide yourself with enough for a good year round food supply is something else entirely, both in time and land requirements.
People move, and moved, to the cities for a wide variety of reasons. Those include the efforts of capitalist, or, in the case of England, feudal elites, to get more money that Cass and De talk about. But they also include the desire for a better and/or more interesting life, and population pressures leading to either environmental degradation or lack of land. The mass movement away from agriculture in postwar Europe was largely due to the second one - life as a factory worker in Milan or the Ruhr improved much faster than that of a small farmer or sharecropper. In much of the third world today it is all of the above.
What percentage of the world's population has access to these things? If we just take medical technology, how many humans have access (either physical or financial) to medical technology?
I went off to google to see if I could find some numbers, and wandered into this from ...oh my word...dieoff.org
!
I have no quick way of finding out the truth-worthiness of those academies.
There's a preamble which states:
The New Delhi meeting was convened by a group of 15 academies "to explore in greater detail the complex and interrelated issues of population growth, resource consumption, socioeconomic development, and environmental protection.'' One of the convening organizations, the Nairobi-based African Academy of Sciences, declined to sign the joint statement, issuing, instead, one of its own. The text of this statement is reproduced below as the second Documents item appearing in this issue. Other academies that did not participate in the New Delhi meeting, or did not choose to sign the joint statement (whether for substantive or procedural reasons), included academies of Ireland, Italy, Japan, Singapore, and Spain, and the Pontifical Academy of Sciences. Notwithstanding the African Academy dissent, representatives of six African national academies, among them four from countries of sub-Saharan Africa (Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, and Uganda) were among the fifty-eight signatories.
This accelerated population growth resulted from rapidly lowered death rates (particularly infant and child mortality rates), combined with sustained high birth rates. Success in reducing death rates is attributable to several factors: increases in food production and distribution, improvements in public health (water and sanitation) and in medical technology (vaccines and antibiotics), along with gains in education and standards of living within many developing nations.
Over the last 30 years, many regions of the world have also dramatically reduced birth rates. Some have already achieved family sizes small enough, if maintained, to result eventually in a halt to population growth. These successes have led to a slowing of the world's rate of population increase. The shift from high to low death and birth rates has been called the "demographic transition."
The rate at which the demographic transition progresses worldwide will determine the ultimate level of the human population. The lag between downward shifts of death and birth rates may be many decades or even several generations, and during these periods population growth will continue inexorably. We face the prospect of a further doubling of the population within the next half century. Most of this growth will take place in developing countries.
So a question:
What is the best way of transitioning developing countries to the developed world's arriving standard of low death and birth rates? One way would be to make them more like us. But aye here's the rub...Is our position only maintained by their being a lot of people who are not like us...and never will be like us? We have the power, they don't. And "we" is spread across the globe, the nation state is dead, but the regional block is thriving, and some nation states are, in fact, regional blocks...
So, thinking in terms of schooling, medical services, a warm place to read a good book, all the non-tech heavy experiences we could all have...and maybe it would look very similar to some more enlightened democratic countries, but...people don't have time for all that, because they don't have access to food unless they do something for someone else. Does the capitalist expansion model help them out of that trap? You need money to live in a capitalist society, or else you're reduced to picking up the scraps. No free lunch! But once upon a time, people picked food from the trees, and from the ground...
...this is where I hear the gritting of teeth. Because they were also attacked by wolves (though apparently this is a myth...man's best friend is his dog...why did we have it in for wolves...the besrmiched species...bemerded...by humans...to keep them away...their howling....
I'm sure someone once said, "Before we have any more children, shall we sort out making the world a nice place to be?" The nicer the world, the less children will have, on average...an average of two. One for you and one for me. If every couple has two children, there is no net gain to the world's population...except it has increased by two for every adult couple...and then it stabilises at two...and we can get on and enjoy our funky new friendly world...ah shit, the techonic plates are shifting again. Shit!
Ah, Nomad! A planet is not a risk-free environment. Yes! Exactly! Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
It was one of those lateral wanders through the internet. I was wondering you know, really, how many of those city people are there because they want to be there?
Anna Tibaijuka directs UN-HABITAT. That's the United Nations agency charged with improving shelter for the world's poor. She says slums are booming for reasons that many countries share, like poverty and war, which push people from the countryside into cities.
That's the kind of quote I was looking for, a closer analysis of the situation, make humans human again, and anyway, I wondered, "Who is www.world.og?"
A few clicks later, I was at wikipedia.
Public radio is a generic term for radio stations or programming that is not funded by advertising -- specifically commercials. It is the opposite of commercial radio, the funding setup for most radio stations in the United States. PRI, NPR, and APM are the largest producers and distributors of public radio programming in the United States, and they compete with each other for slots on public radio stations and the attention of listeners. Any given public radio station may be an NPR member and an affiliate of PRI simultaneously.
PRI is a younger organization than NPR, which was founded 13 years earlier in 1970. Many PRI shows draw a younger overall audience than shows produced by NPR. Some listeners and critics believe that PRI programs feature a wider range of voices than NPR programs. Many programs that were formerly distributed by PRI, such as A Prairie Home Companion and Marketplace, are now distributed by American Public Media. In addition, PRI distributed World Cafe for many years, but in 2005, its distribution was switched to NPR.
...visions of...that guy...with the glasses...lives in Minessota...St. Paul's, he invented that small town...Lake Woebegon...
Has moved to NPR...perhaps...
Anyways, I'm not anti-tech in any way shape or form, I just get bored with new tech being shoved under my nose all the time...being conned at times, and the best way not to be conned is not to take part in the game, just walk away. But what if someone's put up a fence?
So I see renewable energy, locally distributed and with the possibility but not the necessity of connecting wider, except under good, healthy long term agreements beneficial to both sides....
Ya know I think a lot of human's have a grim lifestyle. The statistic tonight was, "One in eight adults in the U.K. is a carer for someone with a serious illness." And did he say "Eight million of us?", I can't remember--maybe I misremember. But then they flashed up the new projection: By [I can't remember when. Not tomorrow or next year, but five years? I can't remember], yes by this year in the not too distant future, the figure would have risen to 1 in 5.
Ya know, there's a bad attitude that let's that happen, something harsh and unforgiving, like a potato field in February, perhaps, when the wind is harsh once more, ach.... I don't think I've heard a single voice on ET that wants to move back to that. But I don't think that's a genuine reproduction of life under modern tech. farming techniques. And I don't think the huge food providers follow those modern tech. farming techniques, I think they're more like chemists mixing proportions, swishing liquids, and the product is...food. Was nature really that violent and dangerous? I'm sure for some it was, but I reckon for others...and how many are those others? Where are the statistics? I suppose they don't all live in one place as they are a product of the construction of social spaces....kcurie! A diary on magic, please. Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
Even in the US, those archtypal entrepreneurs--farmers--are not eager to be thrown off their land. But neo-liberalism finishes them off, and they go, to be replaced by huge industrial plantations of a sort the Stalinists never even dreamed.
There is something fundamentally insane about denying the physical reality of our existence. And the fact that we are using up unrenewable resources. Even topsoil--which given enough time, CAN be renewed--is being mined and destroyed like coal, oil, or copper.
Well, this can go on until it can't. Then we implode, not to the Stone Age, but to a far, far, more depleted existence.
The Easter Island scenerio looks more likely everyday. It seems to be what people want.
Can't understand why. The Fates are kind.
Quite a misreading! The Fates are kind.
Just for a quick comparison, the percentage of the population living in cities with more than 10,000 inhabitants: 1800, 1850, 1890
England: 21.3, 39.5, 61.7 France 9.5 14.4 25.9 Prussia 7.3 10.6 30.0 Russia 3.7 5.3 9.6 Hungary 5.4 9.1 17.6 Switz. 4.3 7.3 16.5
In France if you're wondering much of the growth in the urban population came through external immigration (primarily Belgium and Italy in that period, soon to be joined by Poles), not internal migration from the countryside. In the Prussian lands one of the biggest factors in reducing the rural population in the twentieth century was the wholesale ethnic cleansing of its eastern provinces - nothing specifically to do with rural vs. urban, it was all about compensation and revenge, it just happens that those areas were more heavily agrarian than the rest of Prussia.
In some areas the introduction of capitalism led to the consolidation and growth of the great estates e.g. England and East Elbian Prussia (in both of these case, but particularly the latter, the shift in land control was directly linked to the reduction of the peasants' feudal obligations - instead of getting the use of land in return for unpaid labour for the landowner, they got turned into capitalist labourers), in others it was the the time of the peasant proprietor, e.g. France and West Elbian Germany. In some areas land ownership was fairly stable e.g. England and France, in others it wasn't, e.g. both sides of Germany. Some areas were characterized by a growth in landless agricultural labourers, others the reverse.
As far as living standards go, one indication of how the change began can be seen in rural vs. urban death rates in a given area. Up through the end of the first phase of industrialization they tended to be higher in the cities, then that flipped roughly around the turn of the century. But that varied from place to place Percentage of total income received by the top five percent in the half century preceding WWI grew in some places (e.g. Prussia) declined in other (e.g. Britain). Real wages of wage labourers grew declined in the initial phase of industrialization, then grew steadily, surpassing their pre industrial levels by around 1880, and continued rising - at the same time the as the hours in a workweek declined, housing quality improved, some modicum of hygiene began to be introduced into working class neighbourhoods, thus greatly improving health standards. But all of this happened in different ways, at different times, at different paces.
So if you want to understand what happened, look a little beyond England in the eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries. And when you do study England, try to understand how what happened grew out of the existing social, political, and economic relationships.
The only thing I have been advocating (unlike you?) is that we avoid the Easter Island scenerio. Do you really think the scenerios I "love"--which I have yet to argue for, by the way--are worse than that? The Fates are kind.
Please, please read some French history. Concentrate on the Third Republic up to WWI and then again on the Trente Glorieuses that followed WWII. It is the polar opposite of the English case which you seem to think was universal.
You'll find a state which actively sought to promote the political and economic interests of the small farmer at the expense of both the rural elites and the urban population. You'll see extensive measures, administrative, legal, and financial helping out small family farmers. You'll note the disproportionate power of rural areas, coinciding with the rapid demise in the political power of the already relatively weak rural elites. You'll find the rise of a modern industrial economy with little rural exodus to be observed. Then switch over to the post WWII period and you'll find your rural exodus - not because the conditions of the rural areas declined, but because suddenly the government embarked on a large scale effort to improve the lives of the urban working class and petty bourgeoisie - decent housing, running water, electricity, higher wages, shorter working hours. And a rural exodus occurred, but because of a relative decline in living standards, not an absolute one. The last quarter century has been different, but by that point the bulk of the urbanization had already taken place.
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