Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
The level of linearity of the climate is a clear worrrying question.. pity is too technichal... most models should work fine thinking in decade terms ... if the models are correct...

The problem is that there might be some term we do not foresee or that the level of linearity breaks down sooner than expected and irrelevant forces became stronger..

Difficult to foresee... but the more we push the parameters (as the CO2 in the atmosphere..) the more changes we will find vey upleasant scenario..

that is why glboal warming will be either a grave phenomena or a catastrophe in 100 years... who knows?

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Fri Oct 26th, 2007 at 07:07:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Discontinuity in the dose-response relationship is a frequent phenomenon for many kinds of pollution. A typical example is the release of a toxic agent in a river. At low to moderate levels, an increase in concentration will cause a proportional increase in the mortality of fish. Beyond a certain threshold, however, there is a jump to a new state and nearly all fish die.

We might be reaching such a threshold for climate gases, as the earth system's capacity for taking up CO2 is diminishing. See this guardian article.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Fri Oct 26th, 2007 at 09:51:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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