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I'd personally take a little issue with how you characterise German actions. I don't say that they did the right thing, but we should understand some of the pressures on them.

France has a certain level of unemployment. We've discussed the unreliability of the figures, so let me just say that like all economies they feel like they could use a bit less unemployment, but my overall perception is that unemployment is not seen as a major emergency for policy over the last few years.

Now, in "West Germany" I think you could make a similar case, but (even if we concede that the Eastern regions have less overall political clout) the unemployment situation in the East must be affecting policy.

Wage moderation may not be sustainable, but the alternative shifting from a medium-skilled (on average) high volume German economy to a higher-skilled, lower volume (on average) German economy doesn't look like it's politically sustainable in the short term. (After all, the Grand coalition isn't all that stable, IMO.)

I'll note in addition to Migeru's notes about high-end vs low-end etc. that I'll ring my usual alarm bell:

High end employs less people. This is a problem that someone needs to actually address. Maybe there is no alternative but for us, as a whole to get poorer, but we should be managing this decline, else the resulting inequalities between a "skilled elite" and an "unskilled (and largely unemployed) mass" are going to be problematic.

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Mon Feb 5th, 2007 at 06:19:58 AM EST
High end employs less people. This is a problem that someone needs to actually address. Maybe there is no alternative but for us, as a whole to get poorer, but we should be managing this decline, else the resulting inequalities between a "skilled elite" and an "unskilled (and largely unemployed) mass" are going to be problematic.
Yes, yes, yes. Can a front-pager make a debate out of this?

"It's the statue, man, The Statue."
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Feb 5th, 2007 at 06:21:58 AM EST
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Out of... this diary?  That particular paragraph?
by the stormy present (stormypresent aaaaaaat gmail etc) on Mon Feb 5th, 2007 at 08:07:25 AM EST
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That particular paragraph, I suppose.

THX!

"It's the statue, man, The Statue."

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Feb 5th, 2007 at 08:12:08 AM EST
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I did it as a FP story incorporating a few other things I've been thinking about and a comment of yours from upthread.  If a debate takes off, we'll put it over in the debates section... OK?
by the stormy present (stormypresent aaaaaaat gmail etc) on Mon Feb 5th, 2007 at 09:44:29 AM EST
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High end manufacturing does employ less people. But the same doesn't necessarily hold for some other sectors. Niche markets like renewable energies and organic agriculture employ more people than centralised energy or industrial agriculture.

The point that the reunification of Germany added a large labour force that had a skill-set ill-adapted to a high road strategy is valid, I must admit that I forgot that. Re-education and continuous education of the workforce is a crucial part of any high road strategy, but the problems with the East Germans may have been to large for such a strategy to work in the past.

Nonetheless, Germany will face a longer crisis due to its ageing population and if it doesn't adjust its strategy to maximise per capita income on the long term, it's going to have to cut old age entitlements rather drastically. That will be at least as politically unsustainable.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Mon Feb 5th, 2007 at 12:47:35 PM EST
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