Does the poll breakdown how many voters there are in each demographic group? If so; what would the split have to be in the 65+ group in order for Royal to lead the overall poll. My instincts tell me the election will be much closer than the polls because I believe the far right(LePen) will have less of a turnout than expected and women across all political groups will vote for Royal in greater numbers than polled.

I hope I am right.