Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
There's a growing backlash against the use of property tax abatements for economic development in several states.

True & a Good Thing, IMNSHO.

What techno and his friend are proposing is different.  200,000 windmills (or even 20 windmills) plus all the infrastructure required cannot be placed onto a couple of trucks and hauled elsewhere.  Nor is the project, like a sports stadium, one of those nice 'economic development' projects where the private owner(s) gather all the income and the public entity gather all the bills.  

A cost/benefit analysis (hint, hint) will reveal the number of windmills for the project, the point at which manufacture of the windmills in-state is economically feasible (break-even,) the point at which manufacture is beneficial (don't forget to include making the spare parts for service & repair!,) and the potential for selling windmills to other installations.  

Speaking to the latter, the manufacturer would be much better off in the long term by selling the windmills at cost plus a little bit and taking the rest of their profit long term, either as a percentage of power, sales, or defined yearly payment.  

Also, selling service contracts is a real money spinner.  That's how IBM made their money in the mainframe days.  Their junk wasn't any better than anyone else's junk but, if you paid them, they would send a repairman out to fix their junk when it broke down.  A not-so-obvious benefit from this is - since you aren't an Idiot, you'll listen - the field service people will be able to tell you where the equipment is failing, how it is failing, and (sometimes) how to change things to fix the failures.  This is the best of all worlds since your customers are paying you to learn how to better manufacture your product and the better your product is the more you can sell.  

I'm not a materials engineer so take the following with much salt:  there are some very exciting materials being reported.  You & friend are in the position to take advantage of them as you do not have an established manufacturing base AND the producers of the materials are, putting it bluntly, hungry they should be willing to help you use the materials in your design.

And what most of this response has to do with MfM's comment escapes me, but WTH.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 01:45:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... an in-state manufacture threshold is a serious concern. The real long term money flows are in the sales of the electricity itself as a durable export base ... and the trick is to ensure that the ownership is, in fact, in-state, so that its not just the wages for maintenance workers that re-circulate in South Dakota.

Which is why I proposed the seed corn approach to establishing the wind farms.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 02:44:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Depends on how many they put in SD.  If they are erecting 200,000 of the darn things transportation costs become a major expenditure.

Your proposal and my off-the-cuff remarks are actually complimentary.  

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 03:03:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... yes, but if they are assembled in SD, the components will still be produced elsewhere, and then there is the issue of whether the assembly should be closer to the component production or closer to the point of installation.

If they are being installed elsewhere at the same time, then it could well be that the assembly into the component units for on-site installation would be somewhere along the rail lines between Chicago and South Dakota, with component production spread through the Great Lakes states and Toronto.

Indeed, off the cuff, that might also be the most natural approach for organizing a coalition in support of the electricity export infrastructure, as into Minnesota and then into the industrial Great Lakes would be a natural direction for electricity export ... especially if it involves an HVDC bacbone tied into local grids in parallel to the regional HVAC distribution grid.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 06:07:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I really like the idea of municipalities and states taking non controlling stakes in these facilities, and working to raise funds locally.  The unique system of social finance in Navarra allowed them to embrace renewable energy.  Navarra is set to be 100% renewable for electricity by 2010.  Which is simply incredible.  The cajas played a huge part in this.

Another possibilit for organizing finances might be a stakeholding instiution built around the National Farmer's Union, to market electricity, and allow for collective action.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 03:04:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In that, I would expect that it would be least controversial for the state to take a stake in the distribution system, and for communities to take a stake on local wind farms themselves ... and, indeed, a community stake would not be hard to build into a farmer's co-op system.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 06:09:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think that Gamesa Eolica, a spanish turbine manufacturer has some production facilities in Minnesota.
They've expanded rapidly in the US over the last few years, but there's still a lot of run for growth.

The big problem with the mountain west (in which I include South Dakota is that it makes little sense to send power produced in South Dakota to market in Chicago, because there are significant losses in efficiency sending it that great a distance.  Migeru wrote on this a while back.

Far better is to investigate the placement of wind turbines on the Western Coast of Michigan, and in the relatively shallow waters of lake Erie.  These locations are much better than the West, and there's a shorter trip to market.

Looking for example at Nebraska, there's relatively small areas of Class 3 or higher commerically viable wind areas.  The South Dakota maps are held private, but compare this to the offshore and lakeshore capacity in Western Michigan and Northern Ohio where class 4 and 5 wind areas predominate.

Even better it's very close to a market, so you don't have the transmission issues.  Thirdly, you have a ready made consumer for overnight capacity in the electric arc furnaces churning out steel in these regions.  A second use might be to develop deep lake water cooing systems for the greater Chicago area.  All of which could make Chicago an even greener city.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 03:00:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Wind power from South Dakota will be naturally complementary to windpower off the Great Lakes, because they are far enough apart to be statistically independent sources of wind energy, reducing the total energy storage infrastructure required per Terawatt.

The numbers obviously have to be run up, but offsetting the additional transmission costs of windpower from SD is the additional installation and maintenance costs of offshore windfarms.

Indeed, if substantial wind power is installed in the eastern fringe of Lake Michigan and across Lake Erie, then the HVDC transmission from Northeast Ohio through Chicago into Wisconsin could well end up being shared between transmitting power from west to east and transmitting power from east to west. That would reduce the share of the infrastructure costs that would have to be carried by High Plains windfarms.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 06:16:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And what most of this response has to do with MfM's comment escapes me, but WTH.

Well, since Sven gave me a mention in his response to MfM I thought I might as well rise to the bait, and follow up the very useful points made.

It seems to me that an enterprise  model (ie legal and financial structure) is needed that aligns the interests of the turbine producer, developer and the "Community" (who in my book should own turbines).

The requirement is for a model that minimises the total cost of the hardware over time, and that is IMHO a quasi leasing model.

ie bring in the turbine manufacturer as a "manufacturer/operator partner" in an Energy Partnership (LLC or LLP) so that his profit margin:

(a) in producing the turbine; and

(b) in servicing it;

are paid for by allocating to him an agreed proportional "Equity share" in the turbine's production.

The result - particularly if an amount of production were dedicated to depreciation/replacement - could essentially be a sort of "evergreen lease".

The actual "costs" ie whatever amount the turbine manufacturer has to find to pay HIS suppliers, would be funded by selling to Investors units of electricity from the "Pool" of future production.

The resulting "energy debt" would constitute:

(a) an interest-free loan which would be repayable in units of electricity, or their sale proceeds at the market price;

(b) a direct investment in future production of electricity (and a "hedge" against energy price inflation).

"The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Sat Aug 25th, 2007 at 03:23:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Also, selling service contracts is a real money spinner.  That's how IBM made their money in the mainframe days.  Their junk wasn't any better than anyone else's junk but, if you paid them, they would send a repairman out to fix their junk when it broke down.

Yeah. Actually, they would stick a flunky in your installation (or a whole lot of them, if needed) to fix stuff in minutes. I was one of them.


Capitalism searches out the darkest corners of human potential, and mainlines them.

by geezer in Paris (risico at wanadoo(flypoop)fr) on Sun Aug 26th, 2007 at 12:31:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series