Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
This is difference from the question of who's ahead. It's the question of which direction the machine effect goes. There are counties in which the machines don't change the lead, but here I'm looking at how many times the machines favour obama or Clinton (regardless of whether it is by enough to change the lead). In fact, the lead only changes in 3 out of the 10 counties. But to study the odds of the lead changing you need a model of the average lead and the variability of the vote, so it is no longer a nonparametric test.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jan 16th, 2008 at 06:30:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Others have rated this comment as follows:


Top Diaries

Herd Immunity .. Filling the Gaps

by Oui - Jul 24
1 comment

LQD - Long Term Covid: The Brain

by ATinNM - Jul 13

Say No to Racism

by Oui - Jul 12

England surrenders to Covid

by IdiotSavant - Jul 9

Occasional Series