I started reading this and thought "'a lot less confident in the motivations and abilities of EU ministers than you are'? Cynical man." and then realised that I had meant to write:

I suspect I'm not alone here: I very much doubt that almost any of the members of the governments involved understand what they're doing. There will be a small number of civil servants who think they do, but they'll mostly be operating on biases and sympathies.

Double negatives are not my friend.