I ahve alwasy been doubtfult hat revolutions can be prediceted.. actualy I can not buy any pshycho historian stuff...e xcept for the fact that empires always fall.

other than that.. what kind of cahnge is produced along hisotry is highly cahotic.. so i doubt youcan predict.

it is true youc an rpedict eocnomic issues.. but absic economic issues..a dn here the constrains are nto enough to guess a future.

I even doubt that mass uneasiness, or cultural norms are the main drivers of changwe...a. ctually i see more and mroe time through hisotry the notion of smooth and udnetectable change..a dn suddenly you leave ina differenc place.. ahving a quick look at the s XI century you realzie how much is so...

or the slow , and uberslow appearanc eof the state...

So, sure there was the French revolution... and still.. nothing like women wearing pants for the first time in the II World War.

Having said that.. i always like people who try to find some order in this mess.
but things never have to be "this way".. they change all the time.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude