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A lot depends on whether you have some place to go.  

Trusting the government is a suckers game.  You may have no choice.  But in this century one is probably wiser to trust to the mercy of the hurricane.  

If you have friends or relatives, though--better to seek shelter with them.  

It also depends on many things--such as food and water.  If you are prepared to live many days with no markets, nothing coming out of the tap, no light and no power, that is very different than if you are not ready for these things.  A mistake can kill you very quickly.  

Will the roof blow off your house?  Living with no roof is surely miserable, but may not be fatal--IF you have thought it through.  

Most of the damage on the Gulf Coast seems to be water damage.  (Totally unlike the Bahamas.)

The key question:  How high will the water go?  At this point Galveston seems to have lucked out.  Between Galveston and Port Arthur is a different story, though.  Reportedly Sabine Pass is simply gone--which means anyone who tried to stay there is gone too.    

Getting drunk at a beach bar has GOT to be a bad plan--by any measure.  

The Fates are kind.

by Gaianne on Sat Sep 13th, 2008 at 08:24:16 PM EST
If you've got a lot of canned food and bottled water, and aren't within striking distance of the conservative estimates of storm surge, staying is fine.

I'm guessing, though, that the kind of person who goes to a bar in Galveston during a hurricane is not the kind of person bright enough to follow those rules (having already violated them on grounds of storm surge).

Sabine Pass is, fortunately, very small.  And, fortunately, there simply isn't that much between Galveston and Port Arthur.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sat Sep 13th, 2008 at 08:49:53 PM EST
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Well, there is the Houston ship channel.  Fortunately, the eye went almost directly over Galveston, so the worst of the winds and surge hit Port Arthur.  Had the hurricane hit about 25 miles south of Galveston, we might have gotten the 20'+ storm surge in the bay and channel.  That was where they thought it was going when they issued the warnings about 20'+ storm surges.  Small shifts can make big differences.  Hope not too many people draw the wrong lesions here.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat Sep 13th, 2008 at 11:32:25 PM EST
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Fortunately, TS Ike appears to be headed just far enough west of my location in north central AR to spare us the worst. Knock on wood.  We did have tornado warnings with the suspect clouds passing `20 miles on either side of us.  Warning sirens and everything.  Glad of wunderground.com.  I can get real time tracking of serious storms so I don't have to overreact.  

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat Sep 13th, 2008 at 11:36:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Trusting the government is a suckers game.  You may have no choice.  But in this century one is probably wiser to trust to the mercy of the hurricane.

This reminded me of a passage in Naomi Kleins The Shock Doctrine. It is a description of how many who fled from the 2004 Tsunami later was prevented form returning to their homes, the land (beachfront property!) instead being expropriated to corporations as part of "reform" packages.

Looters comes in different forms and seizes.

Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se

by A swedish kind of death on Sun Sep 14th, 2008 at 05:24:36 PM EST
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