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You're right. It's not a financing plan but a projection how financing could [ideally?] play out in the next ten years. Interesting to see that Nuremberg-Erfurt is to receive money till 2020. Additionally, the outcome of the haggling round each year in Fulda (March/April) is unforeseeable.

Nuremberg-Erfurt and Erfurt-Leipzig together still need 6 billion, Nuremberg-Erfurt ~4 billion (numerous sources say 4+2 billion of investment left but the document says ~5 billion total. Are my numbers wrong?). They would have to get nearly all the money in the next 7 years to go into service 2017. I'm not sure the rest of the country would like that ;-). 2040 is of course very speculative and probably wrong. No one knows what will happen beyond 2020. But seeing as Nuremberg-Erfurt can practically receive only ~200m or 300m max every year at least till 2020, plus it's chasing the tail of cost inflation, it's rather unlikely that it will be finished in this decade. 2017 is apparently impossible for technical reasons alone - construction orders didn't go out soon enough in 2008.

If the predicaments of energy (peak oil) and finance hit in this decade and get progressively worse, I wonder whether VDE8 will ever get finished.

Hopefully this is all the mad cow talking.

Schengen is toast!

by epochepoque on Tue Oct 5th, 2010 at 12:37:40 PM EST
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