The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
In that little diagram, the "equilibrium" or crossing point is observed, namely a (price, volume) point. The rest of the diagram is counterfactual. I suspect people are using consumption as a proxy for demand and production as a proxy for supply. The difference between consumption and production is the change in inventory. But ignoring that difference for a minute, consumption is just the demand at the "equilibrium" point. Nobody is counting all the times someone goes and says "gee, I want to buy some more of this but it's too expensive" or "gee, I wanted to buy some more of this but the shelves were empty" and so the demand curve is unobserved (unobservable?). Similarly with the supply curve. Does one have to look at the order book at a commodities exchange (or the open interests in futures) to get supply and demand curves for oil? And, of course, if the supply and demand curves are counterfactual it is going to be rather hard to measure their slopes (the "price elasticity" of supply and demand).
Does one have to look at the order book at a commodities exchange (or the open interests in futures) to get supply and demand curves for oil?
And, of course, if the supply and demand curves are counterfactual it is going to be rather hard to measure their slopes (the "price elasticity" of supply and demand).
Who cares if there is plenty of oil to be burned if it costs $1000 per barrel? Who cares if I am forced to turn off my furnace and never travel? I'm sure that the millionaires in China will be driving around in their Buicks.
General Motors says it has become the first global automaker to sell 2 million vehicles in China in a single year.But the bigger news is GM is on track to sell more cars in China than in the U.S. this year. Through October, GM has sold 1.8 million vehicles in the U.S.October sales of Shanghai GM's Buick brand jumped 35.7% on an annual basis to 54,490 units. Demand for both the new LaCrosse sedan, seen in that photo above, and the smaller Excelle, known as the Regal in the U.S., rose more than 40% year on year.
Through October, GM has sold 1.8 million vehicles in the U.S.October sales of Shanghai GM's Buick brand jumped 35.7% on an annual basis to 54,490 units. Demand for both the new LaCrosse sedan, seen in that photo above, and the smaller Excelle, known as the Regal in the U.S., rose more than 40% year on year.
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/driveon/post/2010/11/gm-general-motors-china-buick-lacrosse- regal/1
That's another significant element of the equation. If oil is $100 a barrel, then it's worthwhile spending $80 to extract the difficult stuff. But it's not a fundamentally very productive endeavour. In fact, it's a matter of pouring more and more resources (skills, machinery, energy etc) into a vanishing resource. Not a very smart strategy.
This is what they mean when they say that the market will provide if the price is right. Though I think that they are materially wrong on that. Canada has the world's second biggest hydrocarbon reserves. But they just can't seem to ramp up production the way the economists predicted. It's just too hard. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by gmoke - Oct 1
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 24 3 comments
by Oui - Sep 19 19 comments
by Oui - Sep 13 36 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 11 5 comments
by Cat - Sep 13 9 comments
by Oui - Sep 3021 comments
by Oui - Sep 29
by Oui - Sep 283 comments
by Oui - Sep 2713 comments
by Oui - Sep 2620 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 243 comments
by Oui - Sep 1919 comments
by gmoke - Sep 173 comments
by Oui - Sep 153 comments
by Oui - Sep 15
by Oui - Sep 1411 comments
by Oui - Sep 1336 comments
by Cat - Sep 139 comments
by Oui - Sep 1210 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 115 comments
by Oui - Sep 929 comments
by Oui - Sep 713 comments
by Oui - Sep 61 comment
by Oui - Sep 1216 comments