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The comrades take on the coalition

Nevertheless, the unions are far from a spent force: the 7m Britons who still carry union cards remain, collectively, an important social movement (by comparison, only around 4m people attend church once a month or more). Concentration in the public sector has helped to preserve their power. Strikes by transport workers can cause chaos if commuters are unable to get to work. A recent two-day walkout by workers on the London Underground, for example, caused widespread disruption in the capital; one estimate, from the London Chamber of Commerce, put the cost to firms at £48m ($75m) a day. A full-blown rail strike would be much worse. A walkout by teachers would require millions of parents to stay at home minding their children; binmen could leave the streets as filthy as some were in the "winter of discontent"; and so on.

All this is plausible, which is why some are suggesting further curbs on union powers. Policy Exchange, a right-leaning think-tank, argued on September 11th that bigger unions should be broken up and strikes made harder to call. The Chartered Institute of Personnel Development, a trade body for managers, has suggested a ban on strikes in key industries such as transport. For the time being, the government is taking a conciliatory line. Francis Maude, a Conservative who runs the Cabinet Office, said on September 13th that the government wanted a "partnership" with the unions, and ruled out a return to the days of "standoffs" between the two.

But with many government departments facing real cuts of 25% in their budgets over the next five years, that olive branch will almost certainly be spurned. The order of battle ought to be clearer after October 20th, when the government's spending review will spell out the exact shape of the retrenchment.

Keeping the public onside will be vital in any conflict--and there are early signs that the government is losing the battle. Although one poll conducted by the BBC suggested that 60% of respondents supported cutting the deficit in principle, another for the Times found that 75% felt the planned cuts were too deep and being implemented too quickly. It may get worse, too: some senior Tories reckon that voters have not yet grasped the sheer scale of the cuts--nor their potential impact on the users of public services, as well as their unionised providers--and that opposition will harden from next April, when they take effect in earnest. If the unions can get the public on their side, ministers will find it much harder to resist them.

(In the Econ before the vote)

Wind power

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Sep 26th, 2010 at 06:55:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Very humorous. I especially enjoy the waving of dubious poll data saying that the British public, having been given the choice of being impaled or hung, drawn and quartered have opted for being impaled as their favorite option.

nobody has ever made a case for a proper jobs stimulus so, given the unanimity from the Serious People whoa re allowed to have televised opinions, it's not surprising they don't imagine other options. It's labour's job to put that case, something Ed Balls began during the leadership campaign and which Ed should allow him to continue.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sun Sep 26th, 2010 at 07:48:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Typical tactics by economists since Malthus -- frame the problem as a choice between two repulsive alternatives. The key to Henry George's appeal was that he framed things as a clear choice between a repulsive and an attractive choice. The UK and USA are both paying the price for more than a century of systematic mis-education of policymakers and the public in matters economic. Even labor is viewing this through a Neo-Classical frame. They will not succeed until and unless they break that frame -- or at least make clear to the public that there is a choice of frames: one that serves great fortunes, finance and their retainers, and another that serves the remaining 98% of the population.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun Sep 26th, 2010 at 12:17:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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