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I have of read more than one fund manager who has relocated to Hong Kong or Shanghai on exactly the thesis you describe -- all the action will be in emerging markets. If I were younger, my preference would probably be Brazil. Demographics are a central concern. In the developed world too many countries have demographic profiles that are inverted pyramids.

I believe it is possible to deal with such demographic problems, but it does not appear to be happening in most countries. To do so successfully requires more planing and acting towards common goals than is possible with current ideologies.China is going to face its own demographic crisis in another twenty to forty years and time will tell how well they cope with those problems.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Wed Mar 2nd, 2011 at 05:52:19 PM EST
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It is interesting that in order to bring the growth rate of the world's populations under control without a massive crash it will be necessary to successfully deal with inverted pyramid population demographics. But it is also the case that birth rates decline along with increasing economic development. So demonstrating policies that enable countries successfully to cope with declining birth rates would seem to be a priority. But, unfortunately, the problem doesn't fit easily into a scheme of ever increasing profits, so discussion is marginalized.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Wed Mar 2nd, 2011 at 06:00:33 PM EST
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