Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

I find it illuminating to use, e.g., "we are predating oil to scarcity along an exponential growth curve," as an analytical heuristic.  Thinking along these lines it becomes immediately apparent if the replacement rate of the prey (oil) is below predation (extraction) rate systematic use of the prey (oil) MUST, at some point, change the "ecology," or Fitness Landscape, necessarily leading to a change in consumption patterns of the predators (Actors) to accommodate lowering availability of the prey.  This change in consumption patterns changes the predation rate, which changes the Fitness Landscape, changing the predation rate, & round and round we go.

There is more that fall out of the heuristic, I'll only mention one: emergent behaviors, and everything that EB drags along, are inherent.  This is in sharp contrast to NCE where EB, e.g., "Black Swans," are always a surprise.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Thu May 12th, 2011 at 01:27:44 PM EST
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