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http://www.bundesbank.de/download/volkswirtschaft/zahlungsbilanzstatistik/2011/zahlungsbilanzstatist ik052011.pdf
In the year 2010 Germany had a trade surplus with the EWU-Länder (17) that is the Eurozone numbering + 76.129 Billion . And a current account surplus with the same countries at + 73. 379 billion .
large surplusses with France, Austria, Italy, Spain and Belgium. A small one with Finland. Small deficit with Slovenia. Bit trade deficits with the Netherlands and Ireland.
My conclusion: Germany should leave the Euro at once, to devalue vis-a- vis Ireland and the Netherlands
I realise that this is tongue in cheek, but you cannot quite conclude that.
If the Netherlands and Ireland have a trade deficit against Spain, Austria, Italy, France or Belgium, you would have to net out those transactions before concluding that Ireland and the Netherlands should permit their currencies to appreciate.
You should also look at the balance sheets involved - surpluses are not necessarily destabilising if they go towards paying down foreign debt. The problem is that surpluses rarely end when the country goes from being a net debtor to a net creditor, which is the point where the surpluses start becoming Ponzi-like if not contained.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
If a country's primary trade deficit is less than the difference between its sustainable growth rate and the interest it pays on its foreign debt, the foreign debt will converge to a stable level.
But you don't hear so much about those cases, because they don't make headlines by going boom every ten years.
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