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The voting is officially over, though some districts had still long queues in the last hour, including the embassy in London. The voters that came before 8pm (Lithuanian time) will be allowed to vote. The activity is over 50%, high for Lithuania.

Exit polls tell:
Darbo Partija: 19.8%
Social-democrats:  17.8%
Homeland Union: 16.7%
Liberal Union: 8.5%
Drąsos Kelias: 8.5%
"Order and Justice": 8.4%
The Polish minority union: 4.8% (is their barrier still 4%?)
The Peasants and Green union: 4.7%
Center liberals: 3.0%

by das monde on Sun Oct 14th, 2012 at 01:37:45 PM EST
It's not so common for a party to go from leading a government coalition to third place.

I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Oct 14th, 2012 at 02:25:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
With 130 of 2017 districts counted:
Darbo partija: 28.5%
Social-democrats: 19.4%
Order and Justice: 10.1%
Homeland union: 9.8%
Peasants & Green: 7.4%
Drąsos kelias: 4.8%
Liberal union: 4.4%

The lessons of Lithuanian elections: Exit pols can be disrespected (since 1992, famously). The city and country-side voting may differ significantly; the former votes are counted up later usually. Social-democrats should be more successful in individual consistencies, where Darbo partija did not prove itself solid yet.

The Darbo partija, Social-democrats and "Order and Justice" would  agree to a coalition, apparently.

Regarding the advisory referendum on the nuclear plant: with 180 dictricts counted, 60.7% against and 35.5% for. But the activity should rather be over 50%.

by das monde on Sun Oct 14th, 2012 at 04:09:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
After 1213 districts reporting:
Darbo Partija: 23.4%
Social-democrats: 19.4%
Homeland union: 12.3%
Order and justice:  9.2%
Drąsos Kelias: 6.5%
Liberal union: 6.0%
Peasants & Greens: 5.5%
Polish minority: 5.4%

Uspaskichas, Butkevicius (LSDP) and Paksas are already meeting. In individual constituencies, Darbo and LSDP have one mandate each surely (and 14 vs 16 clear leaders), the Polish minority likely has 2 mandates already.

by das monde on Sun Oct 14th, 2012 at 09:31:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How did Paskas and the other two come together? What is the basis of compatibility?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Oct 15th, 2012 at 01:33:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I am surprised with this quick fusion; perhaps my selective sourcing is to blame. The 3 parties must have been talking beforehand already. Quite openly, political agreements are made on pragmatic grounds: we just divide control spheres by accumulated seats.
by das monde on Mon Oct 15th, 2012 at 03:46:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What is Darbo's position (if it has anything clearer than that of the Social Democrats) on the economy and government finances?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Oct 15th, 2012 at 01:34:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
According to the Guardian,
In an interview with Reuters soon after the exit poll put his Labour party in the lead, Viktor Uspaskich outlined a plan which would put generating economic growth ahead of rigid measures of fiscal discipline.

Asked if he would stick to the 3% rule, Uspaskich, a Russian-born businessman, said: "Of course to begin with, let's put it this way, we will."

But he said there could be a case later on for widening the deficit to invest in promoting growth, even if that meant exceeding the 3% threshold.

"How otherwise can you generate [growth in] the economy if you only borrow to cover regular expenditure? You need to borrow for generating [growth]."

by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Mon Oct 15th, 2012 at 02:51:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Uspaskich takes currency balances seriously, but as we see, shows willingness to meet them flexibly. He is the most shrewd leader at the moment, clearly.

The post of prime minister will be decided after the second round 2 weeks later, by agreement. But Uspaskich already declared that he would be the best prime minister. He would talk with the Liberals and the Poles as well.

Darbo partija is involved in a legal process, on shadow accounting during a previous election. Uspaskich would cooperate in the investigation. Additionally, a number of voter buy off reports will be investigated, where Darbo Partija is mentioned most frequently.

by das monde on Mon Oct 15th, 2012 at 04:04:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
With 1877 districts reporting:
Darbo Partija: 20.5%
Social-democrats: 18.7%
Homeland union: 14.5%
Liberal union: 8.0%
Drąsos Kelias: 7.9%
Order and justice:  7.6%
Polish minority: 5.7%
Peasants & Greens: 4.1%

The advisory nuclear plant referendum is valid officially, about 51.5% have voted: 35.2% of them for, 64.8% against. Uspaskich and LSDP are sending mixed signals. Uspaskich is a supporter, but acknowledges the referendum outcome. The LSDP leader Butkevicius was less enthusiastic, but now he talks about continuation of negotiations with Hitachi and regional investors, a second referendum.

by das monde on Mon Oct 15th, 2012 at 04:21:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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