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But the run-off gave The Homeland Union exactly the number of additional seats in the prediction quoted by dasmonde (9 likely + half of 22 toss-up = 20), while the Social Democrats could statistically count on 15.5 but got 22. Labour didn't lose that much: 11 instead of 14.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Oct 30th, 2012 at 08:48:03 AM EST
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I should have made clear that I was looking at the percentages and the seats and their relationship.

On the predictions only the social democratic result was surprising, that is true.

percentages:

  1. Darbo Partija        19.82%
  2. Social Democrats    18.37%   
  3. The Homeland Union   15.08%   

Seats:

  1. Social Democrats      38
  2. The Homeland Union    33
  3. Darbo Partija     29
by IM on Tue Oct 30th, 2012 at 10:39:56 AM EST
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