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No it doesn't have to be like that at all. I really don't want to get into any sort of detail online but you don't need much of anything to really hurt any western country if you target imaginatively enough and what you do need can very happily sit undisturbed until required.

And if Iran can't find some clean (non-persian looking) skins somewhere, then they really aren't very bright.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Feb 16th, 2012 at 05:38:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Deterrence is useless if no one knows about it. Yet successful sabotage demands total secrecy. It will also change nothing about the ultimate outcome of any conflict.
So why bother at all?
by generic on Thu Feb 16th, 2012 at 07:15:36 AM EST
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I can't answer for the Iranians, I'm simply here outlining what I would do in their place.

A country like Iran cannot threaten the US openly; the nature of asymmetric warfare demands subterfuge and hidden intent. Such a strategy depends primarily on the idea that the US and Israel cannot mount a killer first strike within the first 24 hours, which gives it time to mobilise and effect its sleeper response.

however, this response must be capable of delivering a catastrophic blow to the enemy at one stroke or it is inviting Dresdenisation upon the entire country. We're not talking about a 9-11 here, we're talking about something that would neuter their ability to maintain military action against the homeland.

This can be done and quite straightforwardly, but i don't think these people think like that.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Feb 16th, 2012 at 08:34:20 AM EST
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And I'd like to make it quite clear right now that I am not advocating that Iran should do this, or that I want the West to lose.

I am simply saying that, if I was in their place, I'd view rattling sabres about Hormuz as a good distracting bluff to cover preparations for a more effective retaliation. Cos if your retaliation consists of sinking ships in hormuz, you've already lost.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Feb 16th, 2012 at 08:45:16 AM EST
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