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On further reflection, one can argue that the elites pretty much always use the template of "the most recent successful intervention" as the basis for their decisions.

Thus we should probably expect the CIA to try to stir up a resistance group in one region of Iran and unofficial action alongside a no-fly zone (a la Libya) to be the approach.

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed Feb 15th, 2012 at 10:53:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The problem with that is that the Iranian dissidents probably remember how the last American-sponsored regime change in Persia turned out.

I wouldn't place any expensive bets on them picking the CIA over the mullahs.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Wed Feb 15th, 2012 at 11:10:07 AM EST
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They've been supporting various terrorist groups there for ages. As for a no-fly zone, can you get a UN resolution? If not, are you going to start shooting down Chinese and Russian planes?
by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Wed Feb 15th, 2012 at 11:27:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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