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Why in the world would anyone go into such a business?
Well, for one I am not certain that I did get more in interest last year then they nicked in fees, but anyhow there are a couple of possible reasons:
The difference is that central bank lending to banks is collateralised quite stringently, whereas customer deposits are not collateralised. In fact, they are guaranteed by the government and the cost to banks of taking part in deposit insurance schemes is rather low. There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
If the bank lends you money, the opportunity cost of that money is the Fed funds rate. This, along with legal limits on how much lending it may pile on top of its equity, is the operational constraint on bank lending. This is irrespective of the rate it pays on deposits, or the volume of deposits.
Yes, it can use deposits to defray that expense, if it can obtain them at less than the Fed funds rate. But if it can obtain deposits at less than the Fed funds rate, it could also just place them in the interbank market or at the discount window to make the Fed funds rate on them. If the bank made no loans at all, it would still be trying to attract those deposits. And if the bank had no depositors, it would not alter one whit the quantity or interest rate of its lending.
OK, in Goldman's case this is not true. Goldman doesn't take deposits because of a business case for taking deposits. Goldman takes deposits so it can hold them hostage if the federal government decides that Goldman needs to go away. But Goldman is special.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
Much to the displeasure of the Bank of Spain, the sector has been engaging in a deposit war now for several months in order to improve liquidity after the debt crisis in the euro zone cut off traditional wholesale funding sources for many lenders. Some banks are offering annual deposit rates of 4 percent, thereby, narrowing their margins and restricting their ability to lend. The practice also ends up increasing the borrowing costs of households and companies. The decree move follows repeated calls by the central bank to put an end to what it feels is a self-defeating practice.
Some banks are offering annual deposit rates of 4 percent, thereby, narrowing their margins and restricting their ability to lend. The practice also ends up increasing the borrowing costs of households and companies.
The decree move follows repeated calls by the central bank to put an end to what it feels is a self-defeating practice.
What does the bank get out of having that cash there?
The other banks can only create the money they lend. When they have to make an actual payment to another bank, they need actual money (i.e., liquidity). There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
"It holds it as custodian and pays interest on it."
So now it is used for interbank payments too?
The other banks can only create the money they lend. .
Not so, they create money when they spend as well, except that this spent money becomes the object of an (undated) demand deposit in the recipient's current account.
What happens with the (dated) loan is that the money is created, deposited and then instantaneously lent via what is essentially a repo of virtual (fiat 'look-alike') cash.
I find it useful to distinguish between dated and undated deposits.
Banks must always balance - in aggregate - dated (term-even overnight) deposits and dated (loan) assets.
Undated demand deposits (reserves) which are held by banks at the Central Bank are reflected in the balance sheet by:
(a) the (undated) ownership claim of the banks equity capital; and
(b) the (undated) claim of demand depositors in respect of their current account balances. "The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson
No wonder they are in trouble.
They lend to each other, and to customers, at whatever the respective markets will bear.
And it's not my theory. It is a fact Competition for deposits in 2010-11 got insane and they were offering up to 4% for demand deposits (not time deposits!) which did squeeze margins as they were not increasing what they were charging for their lending in a commensurate way. And so the Central Bank got worried, especially as competition for deposits is a zero-sum game among banks and does not improve the overall health of the banking system.
However, what deposits (as liabilities) do is allow banks to book cash as assets. At a minimum they can park this cash as central bank reserves making a measly 0.25%. And, as assets, central bank reserves and cash don't count as risk weighted assets and therefore don't count in capital adequacy requirements (i.e., they don't imply regulatory or market needs for additional equity) whereas a loan which may collect 7% or upwards as interest income is a risky asset which does count as risk-weighted assets for capital adequacy purposes and does lead to additional equity requirements. There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
At a minimum they can park this cash as central bank reserves making a measly 0.25%. And, as assets, central bank reserves and cash don't count as risk weighted assets and therefore don't count in capital adequacy requirements
So they put some of it in the central bank, which increases their cash asset base which allows them to lend and buy more profitable assets - in theory. But suddenly, the deposit taking doesn't seem like a service business, it seems like a vital part of bank capital management. In order to lend, they must have some cash reserves. And one big source of cash reserves is - deposits!
To me you are taking a true observation: that with access to central bank reserves and fancy accounting, bank lending is not constrained to be a fraction of deposits, and then extending it over the cliff as an argument that deposits don't have any effect on bank lending capability - something you contradict in the quoted sentence above.
Then the interbank maket seized and it took with it Northern Rock and Lehman Brothers. There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
Everything leading up to it is false, and it won't have the effect on the financial system you think it will. But it's still a good idea for other reasons.
US embassy cables: Mervyn King says in March 2008 bailout fund needed | Business | guardian.co.uk
The problem is now not liquidity in the system but rather a question of systemic solvency, Bank of England (BOE) Governor Mervyn King said at a lunch meeting with Treasury Deputy Secretary Robert Kimmitt and Ambassador Tuttle. King said there are two imperatives. First to find ways for banks to avoid the stigma of selling unwanted paper at distressed prices or going to a central bank for assistance.
I understand this to mean that banking as a whole since 2008 is in permanent crisis. This causing stuff like temporarily panics for deposits to short-term meet requirements that would otherwise send them into receivership or to government help centrals. Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
We're in a liquidity crisis and banks want to be in an all-cash asset position.
This is what the ECB's LTRO is about: allowing banks to get into an all-cash position for up to 3 years to weather the coming storm. Draghi to banks: winter is coming and it's going to last at least a year. There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
I must be dumb indeed, because here's what I understand Jake to be saying: the banks borrow from customers at 4% the banks deposit that money in the central bank at nearly zero interest. That would make no sense.
But suddenly, the deposit taking doesn't seem like a service business, it seems like a vital part of bank capital management.
In order to lend, they must have some cash reserves. And one big source of cash reserves is - deposits!
Having extended a loan, they must obtain some cash reserves. They can always do this (so long as they are solvent and the central bank defends a policy rate) by rediscounting the loan with the central bank.
In order to lend, they must have some cash reserves. And one big source of cash reserves is - deposits!Not so. Having extended a loan, they must obtain some cash reserves. They can always do this (so long as they are solvent and the central bank defends a policy rate) by rediscounting the loan with the central bank.
The NCBs are allowed, as a temporary solution, to accept as collateral for Eurosystem credit operations additional performing credit claims that satisfy specific eligibility criteria. The responsibility entailed in the acceptance of such credit claims will be borne by the NCB authorising their use. Details of the criteria for the use of credit claims will be announced in due course.
And, again, your point is? There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
I have called it insane. The Spanish Central Bank called it self-defeating and after a year of asking pretty please it issued a directive banning the practice.
So, your point is? There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
In the short term, price wars are good for consumers, who can take advantage of lower prices. Often they are not good for the companies involved. The lower prices reduce profit margins and can threaten their survival. In the medium to long term, they can be good for the dominant firms in the industry. Typically, the smaller, more marginal, firms cannot compete and must close. The remaining firms absorb the market share of those that have closed. The real losers then, are the marginal firms and their investors. In the long term, the consumer may lose too. With fewer firms in the industry, prices tend to increase, sometimes higher than before the price war started.
In the medium to long term, they can be good for the dominant firms in the industry. Typically, the smaller, more marginal, firms cannot compete and must close. The remaining firms absorb the market share of those that have closed. The real losers then, are the marginal firms and their investors. In the long term, the consumer may lose too. With fewer firms in the industry, prices tend to increase, sometimes higher than before the price war started.
So the motivation for this price war is somewhat elusive. The prestige of being a custodian and paying interest?
I'm more used to looking businesses that try make profits or at least revenue. This concept of borrowing money from depositors as a beneficent service has me befuddled.
Also it brings the customer in the door so they can be sold loans. There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
But more importantly, depositors don't ask for collateral. The discount window does. So when your balance sheet is full of shit, you are willing to pay your depositors for the privilege of not being asked questions.
If your balance sheet is not full of shit, however, there is no particular reason to prefer creditors who do not ask questions over ones who do.
- Jake
1A lot of bankers (and, unfortunately, regulators) are witch doctors who target cutesy rules of thumb like "lending/deposit ratio," Taylor rules or "even banks around the rediscount rate." Most of these rules of thumb are bullshit, but pass for plausible under ordinary conditions, because they basically amount to "do the same thing you did yesterday." Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
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