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Of course they'd be in deep shit, as in officially bankrupt, but then there's nothing preventing their regulator from taking them over and letting creditors live with that - especially foreign creditors in a foreign currency (they'd probably get access to the USD portfolio, which are probably decently sound, and that would actually be settled relatively easily). The euro-side bankruptcy would be a good thing, by forcing the dezombiefication of the bank, but that would make the wrong people unhappy - again, less of a problem for France, which could nationalize the local bits and just let the international stuff become a bad bank, à la Dexia (where Belgium took back the retail/local bank), but without the state guarantees. Wind power
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