Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Are you saying that the present current account surplus will turn negative if they implemented the proposed New Punt plan or that they do not now have a surplus? Were such a New Punt to be implemented it would allow for more domestic economic activity. Were it to be devalued relative to the Euro that would reduce imports. The effects on Intel and other transnational corporations could be mitigated by allowing such corporations to continue to make purchases of raw materials in Euros, and, of course, to price and sell their products in Euros.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 10:26:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ireland has a current account deficit, but a trade surplus.

Now, for a normal country, that would mean that after repudiating sufficient amounts of foreign debt, it would have a current accounts surplus. But Ireland is not a normal country, because the difference between trade balance and current accounts balance is driven by expatriation of profits rather than expatriation of interest payments (as is usually the case).

That means they can't default and peg the New Punt to the €, because they can't defend that peg.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:58:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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