So we're looking at vote wastage of at least 7-8 percentage points, possibly more if LAOS or the Greens (or both) fail to make the cut. And unless SYRIZA beat ND we'll need 60 % of the democratically apportioned seats for anti-Troika parties to force default, so make that 55 percentage points or so.

So it's pretty clear that it will come down to whether and how fast the populist right sells out to the Troika.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.