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Not a chance. Only way Japan exits fission completely is if an unexpected technical breakthrough, such as one of the projects working on very smallscale hot fusion (polywell. Focus fusion. The very.. atompunky project the canadians got going with "Pistons and very precise timing!") succeeds obsoletes the entire panolpy of power generation techs - The extant fleet of reactors averages a fairly low age, and even with heroic renewable efforts, would have to be replaced mostly by imported fossil fuels.

.. Which is not a development to be hoped for.

by Thomas on Mon Jun 25th, 2012 at 03:24:50 PM EST
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You were bound to claim that; but my question to tuasfait concerns the political viability of a new Green party with breakaways from, and as alternative to, "the increasingly impotent and right-leaning DPJ".

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Jun 25th, 2012 at 04:01:46 PM EST
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That is a by good question.  Given the popularity that unambiguously anti nuclear politicians seem to be having at the local level, led in spirit by the mayor of Osaka, there may well be a fair base of support for such a movement.  On the other hand, given Japan's draconian laws regarding political speech and advertising, it may have a hard time getting its message out.  
by Zwackus on Mon Jun 25th, 2012 at 07:11:35 PM EST
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Zwackus:
On the other hand, given Japan's draconian laws regarding political speech and advertising, it may have a hard time getting its message out.  

What - if anything - would be the effect on those laws if the amendment is passed making the claim of nuclear being an issue of "national security" law?

Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se

by A swedish kind of death on Tue Jun 26th, 2012 at 12:53:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You are not supposed to oppose anything related to national security (which is threatend by China). Indeed, the "Trans Pacific Partnership" (the free trade zone among everyone in the Pacific) was heavily promoted as a national security matter last year.

Another example: most Japanese mass media vocally supported the Iran sanction, in the spirit of supporting the US, who is, they claimed, trying to contain the nuclear DPRK. This logic is in fact a copy of the conservatives' logic to support the Iraq war back in 2003 ("Get Saddam to get Kim"). Now it has belatedly become the only permitted discourse in Tokyo, as most readers easily buy into this logic because of national security concern.

The recent choice of the defense minister (Morimoto) who is a conservative national security academic was widely welcomed by the media and the public. Needless to say, Morimoto supported the Iraq war and Japan's involvement there.

I will become a patissier, God willing.

by tuasfait on Tue Jun 26th, 2012 at 10:40:20 AM EST
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I would submit Osaka Mayor's political movement will be a huge success in the next election. They are likelty to have anywhere between 50 and 200 seats in the lower house (of 480 deputies).

That Mayor, Hashimoto, however is not a green candidate. For example, he tried to pass legislation to prohibit political activities of public employees. He also threatens to fire public school teachers who refused to sing the Imperial national anthem. He is a populist with a style of his own and not one of the "left".

In the current political climate where sinophobia dominates practically all mainstream discouse, he is likely to get carried away by that sentiment once he succeeds at the national level.

I will become a patissier, God willing.

by tuasfait on Tue Jun 26th, 2012 at 10:21:17 AM EST
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