Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I still wager that the PRI will win.  They have had the machinery in place from long ago:

The Mexican revolutionary family has promoted the electoral fortunes of its electoral arm, the PRI, through the use of the Mexican variant on clientelism, caciquismo.8  The PRI has employed both the sold vote and the gregarious vote to increase turnout and the PRI margin of victory.9  The use of either the sold vote or the gregarious vote necessitate the availability of individuals whose costs and gains of voting can be so manipulated.  Historically, this has been maximized in the countryside, where both methods can be combined by rural caciques

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne
by maracatu on Fri Jun 29th, 2012 at 09:38:55 PM EST
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