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As to: "But applicable solutions are different", I disagree. There is only one solution, and that is to level income and asset distribution to a major extent. That is the class-based solution. After that - or along with that - we can work on social, energy-related, and economic-control issues.
Income and asset inequality do get themselves resolved - temporarily - every so often at the same time that a lot of economic and social resources are destroyed. That's where we are headed. Meantime, we should continue to try to resolve the main issue - the class issue - because it's possible that the process of solidifying a class-conscious solution might create conditions for a larger solidarity of opinion on the other issues. paul spencer
Inflation is not per se an action of class war, quite the contrary: core inflation destroys the revenues from capital and is, by definition, constituted by an increase in wages and salaries. Core inflation may be progressive in its consequences. Look for example to the consequences of the WW1 in France: A Society of rentiers (before the war) is replaced by a society of salary-men and women after the war, because it is no more possible for the former landlords to extract enough revenue frome their lands or possesions as before, all of that because of inflation (caused by the need to offset state debt issued to finance the war).
External inflation is due to a resource shock. The only available solution is to answer to this shock. If the constrained resource is energy, as has been the case for some while, you need to find other energy sources, to begin rationning energy or to adapt the society, and therefore the economy, to a rarer enrgy source.
All three have been used in the las (1973) oil shock (at least in France): a new energy source, nuclear power, has massively emerged. Rationning took the form of energy savings, propaganda campaigns and increased energy prices, and energy efficiency has been increased.
Energy efficiency: Green, before 1982, red afterwards
GDP per capita - world average - in constant 2012 dollars (vertical axis) plotted against the world oil consumption in million tonnes oil equivalent (horizontal axis), from 1965 to 2012. Green: data from 1965 to 1982, red: data from 1983 to 2012. The correlation is better for recent years, which shows that the world economy is not less dependent on oil: the dependency has increased, even though we get "more GDP per barrel" today than before. Author's calculation on primary information coming from BP statistical review & Shilling et al. (energy) and World Bank (GDP).
La chasse au gaspi The gaspi (from "gaspillage", waste) was this animal, with a funnel on the head, characteristic of the gasoline filling stations at the time (1970-1980) and there was small films and advices to avoid wastes.
The cost of energy (notice external shock inflation on energy prices in the 70's)
Inflation is a way to re-balance the effect of class war by reducing the burden of debt that the wealthy have imposed on the rest through their privileged access to the levers of power and superior understanding of the operation of a capitalist economy. And the French nuclear fleet was not built with the savings of French investors so much as by the creation of credit by banks based on a national consensus of the need to develop a non-fossil fuel based supply of electrical power. Had there not been that consensus the interest rate charged would have made the power produced much more expensive, not to mention the cost of obtaining product liability insurance for the plants. "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
It's not until you get hyperinflation that everyone loses. But hyperinflation != inflation.
In the media, 'inflation' was always the word used as a substitute for 'don't be greedy and claim more than your fair share of the wages and salary pie.'
And when we had epic inflation in the 70s in the UK, 'everyone knows' it was caused by greedy unions, and oil price shocks were incidental to the point of being irrelevant.
In fact, inflation cannot be caused by bankers or corporations, by definition. So when the British energy industry is hiking prices, or when the BoE and the government are deliberately trying to create a property bubble, or when supermarkets keep prices artificially high, that's not inflation - that's an unavoidable and entirely understandable increase in consumer prices.
As far as mainstream narratives are concerned, it's only when workers ask for more money that inflation happens.
"In fact, inflation cannot be caused by bankers or corporations, by definition." Pardon me? Whose definition? OK - maybe government policy is the important causation. Then who controls the government?
At least in the U.S., where the government has steadily eroded the 'social safety net's system' response to price increases (better term than inflation?), the effect is wealth transfer from this system to the main beneficiaries of the other government-based welfare system - corporations and banks (particularly the military-industrial complex). paul spencer
To spell it out - the major cause of spending power erosion for working people is corporate and financial action.
In reality, there is no other cause. Between increased costs due to speculation, oligopolistic profiteering, and overbilling for government services, with a bit of corruption to grease the wheels, wage demands and government welfare spending are pretty much irrelevant. (And when was the last time you heard of someone making a wage demand?)
The 'by definition' part is the fact that even on those rare occasions when corporate and financial action is quietly - very quietly - allowed to have created inflation, the only acceptable remedies are further downward pressure on wages, and cuts to government spending.
Price - i.e. profit - controls are utterly unacceptable.
In economic propaganda-land, there is no causal link whatsoever between increased prices created by asset/commodity profiteering+speculation, and official unicorn fart inflation, which is the number that gets bandied around on the news as a target.
Only worker demands and public spending can create inflation. No other economic agent is ever responsible.
If it starts to look like some other agent might be responsible, you can - and should - change the technical calculation used to define the inflation figures, and all is right with the world again. (E.g. I understand that by using vintage definitions of inflation, the real rate in most Western countries is very much higher than the 2% or so we're told it is.)
Of course all of this is insane double-think, and a naked lie. Even so - it's a very popular and persistent lie.
I don't doubt some economists have a more sophisticated understanding. But if they do they won't get a lot of air time, and they'll have even less opportunity to set policy.
Perhaps my main point is lost in the particular subject of inflation. The salient point in our current historical context is class war - as in most historical contexts. In the current epoch it is almost a global truism that distribution is more skewed than usual and that any improvement in socio-political conditions must reduce the differential.
External inflation via resource shock? Again, so what as far as the main argument? I submit, though, that such junctures are merely ruling classes at war via different means.
I also submit that both your and ARGeezer's comments about the French response to the petroleum crisis of the '70s are important to the real need, which is development of solutions: namely that the government stepped in via policy and investment.
As to discussions of core, external, cost-push, etc. inflation - please review my characterization in my first post. Please tell me how commodities-prices inflation, centered on petroleum-price inflation, is not class war. paul spencer
This is a well documented case for oil I think.
I really do believe that we should dissociate economics from politics here. Economics as in "study of the production mecanisms in society" are not political per se. mainstream media spin about austerity is political, because it serves the interests of a particular social group. But the fact that economic lingo is used to promote an agenda do not imply that economical studies are not giving insight on which kind of societies do work, as in stable and productive societies.
Even in a context of huge de-growth to keep our pressure on environment and natural resources would we need economic studies.
Because the fundamentals of economics -when honestly done- is about designing a productive process that optimizes resources: natural and human (as in work and capital). You could have whole studies of economic parameters like money supply/inflation usw without having made the slightest hypothesis on inequalities or democracy. But you can also, given an objective of democracy and low inequalities, look for economic parameters that would favor this kind of society.
Example: you might achieve equality with a strong state which directly manage all productive processes so that no capital owner would gain power from riches. Or you could give instructions to your central bank to permanently run a light inflation so that it would constantly erode the capital owned by the richer citizens. The first method requires a numerous administration and may have some political and social drawbacks (corruption or a tendency to conservatism), the second is more open, as it leaves autonomy to the citizens to develop a professional activity that will have consequences in the economical field. I repeat my assertion about the french society after the first world war and rentiers euthanasy at the time.
Economics as in "study of the production mecanisms in society" are not political per se.
I'd argue it is, because of the way the question is framed.
What does 'productive' actually mean? Who defines it? In what contexts?
is about designing a productive process that optimizes resources: natural and human (as in work and capital).
Both 'work' and 'capital' are purely political concepts. They have no meaning in cultures that don't assume capitalist notions of growth and development.
Now, you could certainly start from scratch and begin by asking what kind of human activity is useful, what resources are available at what cost, and with what potential innovation multipliers.
You can then maybe create accounting systems with an explicit aim of encouraging stable, non-destructive long-term investment over short-term spivery.
But all economic systems are primarily value systems. And all value systems are political, in the sense they privilege some individuals and organisations, and handicap others.
The challenge isn't to be 'productive', but to make sure the political morality is as sane and stable as possible, and that public debate is based on accurate facts and not on deliberate lies, spin, PR, misdirection, theology, dogma, or other intellectual poisons.
Only then can you start creating an accounting system that measures the right things for the right reasons. And then you may - perhaps - finally be able to do some useful economics.
But if you don't do it in that order, whatever you create won't be politically stable.
My biggest criticism of economic theory isn't just that it's wrong or misleading, but that it ignores the nature of political feedback loops.
The feedback loops create inevitable, entirely predictable, explosive instabilities. So you not only get the economic meltdowns on a clock-like cycle, you also get the same tendency to repeated political and social catastrophe.
If there's a solution, it's going to come from reframing policy in completely new terms. Tinkering around the edges won't fix the underlying issue, which is that power tends to concentrate, and unchecked concentrations of power inevitably become self-serving and toxic.
We may prefer to implement liberal social organizations, because our personnal philosophies tend this way or because some scientific aspects have convinced us that societies which value equality or freedom for all are better than others, or because we do not belong to the favorized classes. But this is totally independent from the fact that a democracy or a dictatorship will have to feed their populations to survive as societies, and therefore they will have some economical mechanisms that can be studied.
What i call a "productive process" is the physical processus that allows food to be found in our environnement (and eaten). You can apply that to other needs that may arise, be it understood that I do not say anything on the nature of these needs, that may be culturally defined (as in: a primitive society living in the rainforest has no deterministic reason to have the same preferred needs as a pastoral society from central asia or an urban society from Europe). The choices between these different kind of societies may be determined by the reciprocal influences of culture on the members of each society. It seems that the occidental model is quite attractive at the moment, as everybody wants to emulate it - with some differences-, maybe for wrong reasons (comfort, life expectancy, sense of luxury...) It seems also that it is quite predatory, as the regulation (or lack of) we have decided to apply to our economical system since the 18th century is favorizing the accumulation of capital over work or natural resources preservation.
Other societies may have made different choices in the past (like in amerindian societies in the US, where work and preservation of natural resources where privileged). This choice is cultural. and therefore political also, I will agree with you on this: culture is maybe a way to justify some kind of power repartition in society.
I doubt Amazon tribespeople think in those terms at all. So far as I can tell, based on a little reading and no experience, they have a much richer and more complex relationship with their environment and with their history.
It's true that people need food and shelter, and some kind of social structure. But that is not the same as accepting that the provision of food and shelter are a primary problem for everyone, in the way they are in capitalist cultures.
It's a famous factoid - it may even be true - that in some cultures, provision of necessities takes no more than four hours a day. So why it does take between eight and twelve in this supposedly superior one?
To paraphrase Iain Banks, economics is synonymous with poverty. If you want global prosperity, you're very unlikely to get it by thinking purely in terms of resource allocation, 'work', and 'capital'.
The fact that, in that kind of cultural environement, people do not consider as a need the use of TV entertainment or whatever only says something about their cultural values. Not about the existence of men, of man made objects and of natural resources needed to craft these man-made objects. Work, capital and resources. Economy.
I really want to make clear that "work", in my post, is not equivalent to "wage-earning job" or other system we know. "Capital" is not equivalent to "money". But I don't think it is possible to avoid looking at these three production factors, whichever denomination you use. Even animals will have to evolve in this frame. It's some kind of population dynamics study.
I prefer using terms already defined rather than having to recall my own definitions each time. Because the important thing for me is more on the discussion of the set of rules to choose, as a society, to regulate these three factors. Should we give precedence to capital, to work, to natural resources? What is the maximum amount of work that can be used at a given time? (ie: productivity, worked hours...) What is the right use of natural resources? Should we use all our knowledge to produce things without regards to the resources available? should we force a reduction of work hours so as to reduce the amount of natural resources used and have more time to do other things?
Do the notions of work, capital, productive mechanisms, etc. apply to non-human social animals, e.g. chimpanizees, rhesus monkeys, bats, bees, ants, etc., as well as to humans?
What, if anything, is qualitatively different between non-human economic systems and those of humans? Is it the flexibility of social arrangements that humans have to mediate economic relations between individuals in these groups (presumably in large part due to language and other symbolic systems)? Point n'est besoin d'espérer pour entreprendre, ni de réussir pour persévérer. - Charles le Téméraire
This gives a scope to human politics that is absent in other primate politics.
Then of course comes the invention of long-distance communication and transportation, which adds a geographic scope to the politics. But that's tacked on much later in the evolution of primate politics.
"Social" insects are arguably different, and not particularly social at all, in that the "organism" level is the hive rather than the individual specimen - a worker ant resembles a red blood cell more than it resembles a chimpanzee.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
Suppose you take a troop of chimps, take their tools away and displace them to an unknown area. They will be able to recreate their entire stock of tools in more or less the same state within a very short span of time. They have all the knowledge required, all the raw materials at hand, and all the cultural structure they need.
Now suppose you do the same with one of the early Sumerian city-states. They still have all the raw materials readily at hand. They have all the culturally embedded knowledge. They have all the craftsmen and laborers they had in their city-state. But they would not be able to bootstrap a Sumerian civilization before they starved and died. Because they would not have the tools they would need to build the tools with which they were familiar. They would not have the irrigation systems that their forefathers built up over generations. They would not have the granaries to stockpile food, or the roads to transport it in from the farms. Or even the strains of food crops carefully cultivated and domesticated.
I argue that this, more than anything else, is what distinguishes chimpanzee and human politics. Because the rest is a lot more similar than most people give the chimps credit for.
But maybe the human society may "downgrade" and, whith some losses in lives, develop a new technical environnment.
Anyway, I think we are quite far away the initial posts, and I personnally have a bit lost my thread here. But it was interesting to discuss things with everybody here, as I had never really took the time to write things down. Food for though anyway.
Then again, our technological civilization could be argued to be a part of our extended phenotype - just as one might regard an anthill as a part of the ant colony, rather than a part of the ground. If one takes that view, then to extinguish a culture is tantamount to an extinction event.
Without that culture humans are just animals with unusually developed language skills. Humans as a species can survive without that culture.
But I think in Darwinian terms the persistence and mechanical amplification of knowledge are a new symbiotic genus in their own right, and wholesale extinction would just as catastrophic as any other kind of extinction.
But it will bear so little resemblance to the one we currently live in that one might as well argue that mainline humans went extinct and a sub-species evolved to fill in the abandoned niche.
In other species, individuals learn, but their knowledge disappears when they die. So each generation has to start from scratch.
A few animals have very limited shared memory.
Only humans externalise memory in physical form, so learning and culture don't just persist across generations, but become cumulatively detailed and increasingly widespread and accessible.
Tool use isn't that unusual. A few animals can share tool strategies. Only humans can share tool strategies in a way that persists long after the original inventors died.
Case 2: in chimps, tool use and learning most effective between age 3-5. A 16 year long longitudinal study.
Case 3: Archeologists find remnants of continued tool use on the same site for 4300 years.
I can learn how to do integration by reading Wikipedia or buying a book. The point is not that I'm learning from other individuals, but that the knowledge persists and exists externally and independently.
I can learn to play the blues by listening to recordings made by someone who died a long time ago. You're going to have a hard time convincing me there's any evidence of similar transmission in animals.
Tool use is not the point here.
Anyway: a knowledge exists in the brain of an individual (who has learned it). If this individual, chimp or human, do not teach it, then it is lost. Otherwise it is transmitted. Chances are that the second individual will be young (study about learning age 3-5 for chimps), so will survive its teacher: if he becomes a teacher in his time, then the knowledge has been transmitted to the next generation.
Does knowledge exists independently from a living mind? This is a philosophical question I do not have an answer to.
That's the third paper, talking about continuous transmission attested by archeological evidence during a period of time.
If you're restraining your though to transmission through a media like writing, recording and so on, then what about human oral cultures or pre-historical ones?
I feel the limit is much more tenuous and that it may be impossible to find something other than a difference in degree (of intelligence, communication, culture...) between species that are akin to ours.
personal memory -> shared herd memory -> external persistent shared memory -> abstracted external shared memory.
Each is a superclass of the previous one, and the differentiator - as I said - is that once memory is externalised, face to face transmission is no longer required, and it also becomes possible to symbolically abstract, summarise, model and share experience without having to living it personally.
That's a difference in kind, not a difference in degree. It took humans a long time to invent it, but once it was invented it made a lot of other things possible, including brain tools like computers, which not only store information outside of individual experience, but can leverage innate intelligence in novel ways.
Specifically, I'm thinking of the theory that European post-WWII Social Democracy is a consequence of two world wars in 30 years decimating the male minitaristic elite. But the effect of that did not survive the coming of age (1980s) of the generation born after WWII (1950s), because they could learn toxic culture from the "classic" writings of dead people. A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
Nobody could read hieroglyphs or Sumerian cuneiforms either. But the knowledge they embody was still there all the time, just waiting to be decoded. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
I don't really think oral skills had much to do with decoding hieroglyphs or cuneiforms. Archaeological evidence, and other writings, of various ages, were what permitted it.
I postulate that encoded knowledge is objective and intemporal (but, obviously, contextual in its interpretation) It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
We were able to use the other writings because we knew how to read their descendants. Reading is a skill we pass on orally.
Reading and writing are enhanced language skills that can be learned after that. Humans are capable of teaching themselves to read (with difficulty, but it can be done - just as most people can learn the basics of most languages, given tapes and books.)
The point isn't that language exists, but that enhanced skills allow information to persist and accumulate outside of human brains, and to be transmitted without personal contact.
And it's not just writing. Some of the most popular language courses are spoken-word. They're recorded and replayed to order.
Again, the key difference is that they continue to exist independent of direct personal contact. Just like iPad games for kids that teach them word basics when their parents aren't around.
Just saying.
We're really bad at flying by flapping our forelimbs around, which is something else entirely.
If you want insight into those questions you're better off asking an anthropologist.
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