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At the risk of dabbling in evolutionary psychology, the selection pressure on human behavior is not "make the smartest decision you can possibly make." It is "make a smarter decision than the other guy, fast enough for it to matter." You do not, after all, need to outrun the tiger. You only need to outrun your friends.

That's precisely what I tell climatology deniers that tell me climate models are 'wrong': they don't have to be 'right' as long as they perform better than the competition. And that's a really low bar against the competing 'models' these deniers proffer.

by mustakissa on Tue Jul 9th, 2013 at 10:43:55 AM EST
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