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MMT's policy solution of a Job Guarantee will serve - unless accompanied by a shift in the fiscal base - mainly to enrich rent-seeking owners
The job guarantee by increases the amount of goods and services on offer, whereas a generic living income is not guaranteed to do so. Finance is the brain [tumour] of the economy
The more I think about these arguments, the more it seems the bottom line is whether collective wealth and intelligence are hoarded by a tiny minority or distributed more evenly.
There's plenty of evidence that distribution increases general wealth and prosperity, and also creates more innovation.
The hoarders are only interested in relative wealth- which is something else entirely.
It's astonishing - not at all - that most economics is about pin-level fairy stories of the 'If you do this, something else happens' type.
But there's been almost no interest in causal relationships between inequality, political instability, and the destruction of social intelligence - which in practice means limited ability to invent and innovate.
The government cleverly doled out two months' worth of family cash transfers, amounting to some $90 per person, before unleashing its shock. When the first tranche of price rises hit, quadrupling the cost of some kinds of bread and shooting diesel prices up by 2,000%, among other things, there was barely a peep from the public. Iranians have rapidly got used both to paying a lot more for some things and to having more money to spend as they wish. A family of five now pockets monthly sums close to Iran's minimum wage, enough to pull a big proportion of the 10% of Iranians who live on less than $2 a day above that bar. Yet tight controls on the money supply have kept inflationary pressure lower than feared. By some counts it has already fallen from an annualised 20% in March to 14% in May. With government finances now in better shape, that may drop still further, and quickly.
Mild inflation and controlled prices are financially stabilising... Finance is the brain [tumour] of the economy
And the social ethos seems quite socialist, whatever party badges they choose to put on it. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Has a living income been tried anywhere?
2008-2010, in Otjivero in Namibia there was a pilot project where every adult gets 100 namibian dollars a month (50 for kids, payed to the mother) for two years. Resulting in more economic activity, less poverty, crime and malnourishment. The pilot project came about as a result of the claims that the 2002 Namtax proposal of universal living income faced.
Similar project in Ghodhakurd in Madhya Pradesh in India in 2012. They got 300 rupees a month, half for kids.
Both were intended primarily as poverty relief (hence the low sums) and as such appears more efficient then other projects. Neither has been continued or led to national projects. According to Guy Standing at University of London this is primarily because of pressure from IMF and the World Bank.
This info is courtesy of Grus&Guld, JAK Sweden's dead tree paper. JAK is a bank for interest-free saving and loans. Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se
According to recent estimates, in Spain there are 1.4m households where nobody is working, and half a million households with no income.
The relative poverty level (60% of median household income) is about 15k a year.
So, if you decided to pay 15k per household to the 500,000 households with no income, it would cost 7,5bn per year. Since Spain's GDP is roughly one trillion per year, it would cost less than 1% of GDP to "artificially" bring all the households with no income above poverty level.
15k per year for 2m households would come to 30bn per year, or 3% of GDP.
If you believe in the quantity theory of money, this could accelerate inflation by 3%. But it you make this into a job guarantee programme there would be additional goods (but mostly services) provided by the programme participants and inflation would be reduced.
What, we can end poverty and unemployment for 3% of GDP? Why are we not doing it? Finance is the brain [tumour] of the economy
No, really. That is the reason.
History of the board game Monopoly
The history of the board game Monopoly can be traced back to the early 20th century. The earliest known design was by an American, Elizabeth Magie, patented in 1904 but existing as early as 1902.[1] Magie's original intent was to publish a board game to illustrate an economic principle, namely the Georgist concept of a single land value tax.[2]
Indeed, whether or not it is a job guarantee program, the Spanish economy is sufficiently depressed that there will be no appreciable inflation from a 3% boost to national income. I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
But this experiment happened much closer to home. For a four-year period in the '70s, the poorest families in Dauphin, Manitoba, were granted a guaranteed minimum income by the federal and provincial governments. Thirty-five years later all that remains of the experiment are 2,000 boxes of documents that have gathered dust in the Canadian archives building in Winnipeg.
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