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Technically, I believe the eliminations above are projections (based, I assume, on the ABC News Australia Votes page.) That same page reports that less than 70% of the Senate vote in NSW has actually been counted to date.  As noted, minor changes in vote counts can change the elimination order of small parties, with sometimes large flow-on effects.  That said, this does not appear to be the case in the specific example above.
by External Student on Sun Sep 8th, 2013 at 10:46:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, those are projections based on the preferences lodged by the parties themselves and the official primary votes.

Voting below the line which would lead to some primary votes taking their own path could modify those results, but given the quite low incidence of formal below the line voting in NSW (that is where there were 110 candidates on the ballot paper, so you would have to get 99 entered with no more than two continuity errors), its not likely to be different to those results.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sun Sep 8th, 2013 at 10:58:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yeah perfect illustration of the friggin' absurdity of the system as it actually works, as opposed to how it ought to work theoretically. You and I (and possibly Bruce and, globally, perhaps 0.5% of the voting population) would take great pleasure in filling in our preferences in detail, based on our true ideological preferences and/or whatever tactical considerations we might personally countenance. But the above-the-line system gives you this Chinese Whispers sort of outcome, which possibly comes out alright (insofar as one imagines that those in favour of a bullet train would favour the Greens over the Liberals) but only by some sort of fluke.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Mon Sep 9th, 2013 at 04:46:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe if I was in Tassie, but if I was in NSW ~ which is where I lived when I was in Oz ~ no way I could fill in 100 of 110 names with only two continuity errors. I might have a go, but in the end I would have to also put a number above the line to avoid the risk of it being an informal ballot.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Sep 9th, 2013 at 07:26:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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