Yes, those are projections based on the preferences lodged by the parties themselves and the official primary votes.

Voting below the line which would lead to some primary votes taking their own path could modify those results, but given the quite low incidence of formal below the line voting in NSW (that is where there were 110 candidates on the ballot paper, so you would have to get 99 entered with no more than two continuity errors), its not likely to be different to those results.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

Yeah perfect illustration of the friggin' absurdity of the system as it actually works, as opposed to how it ought to work theoretically. You and I (and possibly Bruce and, globally, perhaps 0.5% of the voting population) would take great pleasure in filling in our preferences in detail, based on our true ideological preferences and/or whatever tactical considerations we might personally countenance. But the above-the-line system gives you this Chinese Whispers sort of outcome, which possibly comes out alright (insofar as one imagines that those in favour of a bullet train would favour the Greens over the Liberals) but only by some sort of fluke.

_{It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II}