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And it's clearly the centre-right which has precipitated the regime change, no?

If new elections were to give the same numbers as the current parliament, presumably the centre-right would be invited to form a minority government, on the basis that they are the only ones able to pass a budget... with far-right support?

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by eurogreen on Thu Dec 4th, 2014 at 07:06:33 AM EST
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Yes, it is the centre-right that did this. The left is not blameless, they nibbled on the edge of the structure last year when they broke out a tax reduction and stopped that with far-right support, but this is a big escalation.

If new elections return the same parliament it is up to the current speaker (soc-dem) to lead discussions and nominate a PM, or at least that is the case until a new speaker is elected. In September the speaker in the outgoing parliament (moderate, ie right-wing) demanded that Löfven showed that he had support to pass a budget, despite the former government voting collectively for theirs. In effect a deal with greens and left had to be shown before the speaker nominated him. The speaker's nomination is elected unless a majority votes against.

In tit-for-tat the outgoing speaker can demand the same thing of a centre-right government, and now the limit for being able to pass a budget has increased to majority, so centre-right + far-right. Or another new election. Or a break-up of the current bloc structure.

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by A swedish kind of death on Thu Dec 4th, 2014 at 07:23:46 AM EST
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The point is that you cannot expect a government to govern on the opposition's budget. If the opposition has the votes to defeat the government's budget, they should form the government.

So the left government has done what they should: resign and put the whole mess to the voters. After the next elections, either

  1. the left government is returned with a sufficient majority to pass a new budget, in which case they should form a government; or
  2. the left allows the parties behind this budget to form a minority government. If the right happen to not have a majority to do anything else in parliament the whole of 2015, tough luck. At least they get to implement their own budget. And in next autumn's budget process the left can defeat the government's budget and so on.

We all know from the Belgian experience a few years ago that having no government or an inoperative government is the best you can do for growth and jobs in the current political environment anyway.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Dec 4th, 2014 at 09:24:27 AM EST
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