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Has the West Already Lost Ukraine? - NYTimes.com
When, on Saturday, Ukraine's new leaders thanked all of those who had contributed to the overthrow of President Viktor F. Yanukovych, the European Union was one of the last to be cited. And deservedly so: At the height of the crisis, the most the union was ready to do was announce sanctions against individual members of Mr. Yanukovych's regime. It is true that the foreign ministers of Germany and Poland worked hard to negotiate a truce between the opposition and Mr. Yanukovych. But their determination came not from the belief that a strong Europe stood behind them, but rather from the awareness that the West would not defend the opposition if it came under attack by Mr. Yanukovych's armed forces or those of President Vladimir Putin of Russia. The events of the last week have made it clear that the European Union is an attractive economic arrangement -- but one that is devoid of opportunities for pursuing serious foreign or defense policies.
When, on Saturday, Ukraine's new leaders thanked all of those who had contributed to the overthrow of President Viktor F. Yanukovych, the European Union was one of the last to be cited. And deservedly so: At the height of the crisis, the most the union was ready to do was announce sanctions against individual members of Mr. Yanukovych's regime.
It is true that the foreign ministers of Germany and Poland worked hard to negotiate a truce between the opposition and Mr. Yanukovych. But their determination came not from the belief that a strong Europe stood behind them, but rather from the awareness that the West would not defend the opposition if it came under attack by Mr. Yanukovych's armed forces or those of President Vladimir Putin of Russia.
The events of the last week have made it clear that the European Union is an attractive economic arrangement -- but one that is devoid of opportunities for pursuing serious foreign or defense policies.
but one that is devoid of opportunities for pursuing serious foreign or defense policies.
And for that I am thankful.
It's easy to say that the EU is weak; but is that necessarily a bad thing? The EU offers a package of trade and economic assistance. It tries to broker a deal between factions, is still trying (I guess) to get the winning side to maintain constitutional legality. I don't see what it could have done fundamentally better.
I was surprised that the regime caved; I suspect it was the oligarchs who pulled the plug on Yakunovich (I'm guessing they obtained a guarantee of business as usual from the opposition)
The problem is that this is a stinging defeat for Putin. His ideology and methodology are clear, there has to be a military response, unless he can somehow save face in some sort of a deal with the EU. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
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