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Kiev is already making noises about sending in the army to squash the unrest in the East.

If they do so, there will be massacres that Russia cannot fail to respond to.

But the most likely outcome of that is that Russia will cut the balls off the Ukrainian army and proclaim a security guarantee for an Ossetia-style construction (or pre-2001 Kosova), which maintains the legal fiction that Eastern Ukraine remains under Kiev's limited sovereignty.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Apr 10th, 2014 at 03:53:39 PM EST
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Kiev might not be fully in control of the Ukrainian military and they might send them only to find that some or all of them don't respond or don't respond as expected. Has the head of the air force been replaced? He has said that he won't take orders from the coup masters.

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Thu Apr 10th, 2014 at 05:30:52 PM EST
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