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Kiev is already making noises about sending in the army to squash the unrest in the East.

If they do so, there will be massacres that Russia cannot fail to respond to.

But the most likely outcome of that is that Russia will cut the balls off the Ukrainian army and proclaim a security guarantee for an Ossetia-style construction (or pre-2001 Kosova), which maintains the legal fiction that Eastern Ukraine remains under Kiev's limited sovereignty.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Apr 10th, 2014 at 03:53:39 PM EST
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