Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
I don't think the acrimonious debate or revisionism down-thread is much use to anyone.

Instead, maybe someone is interested in taking a look at this scenario. It's not a prediction, so we don't need to evaluate its probability, but I still think it's an interesting scenario.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Fri Feb 20th, 2015 at 10:35:59 AM EST
It is a scenario that assumes that Russia wants to conquer Ukraine. If they did, they had an excellent opportunity when they had an escaped deposed president that they could have claimed as the rightful ruler of Ukraine and tried to return with a column of tanks at his back. But they didn't, instead Russia took Crimea and snarked about the lack of president in Ukraine.

I think what the Russian government does not want long term is a Ukraine in NATO and the EUs larger economic zone. Short term they do not want a military conquest of east Ukraine, much in the same way as a year ago the west did not want the then independent areas in western Ukraine conquered by the central power.

Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se

by A swedish kind of death on Sat Feb 21st, 2015 at 05:12:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's more of a reactive and opportunistic view of Russia I'd say, rather than one based on an clear will to conquer other nations. Which is how I think of the Kremlin mindset. They don't want to conquer the world, or Europe, or even the former Soviet space. They will however act opportunistically to recreate some semblance of a Russian empire when the option presents itself, or if they feel themselves forced into action.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid on Sat Feb 21st, 2015 at 06:34:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series