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I don't see any of this as even remotely probable. The relevant security policy actor in Europe is not the EU. It is NATO, and in the article above the key actor - Washington D.C. - is conspicuously absent. The action will not be in western Europe - and even if the EU is not a relevant "hard power" security policy actor, it has done immense work creating bonds between e.g. France and Germany.

The conflict zone will be the front-line between Russia and the West. In Ukraine, the Baltic, and the Arctic. Maybe Putin can stir up some trouble in the Balkans too, or make some trouble with his pet right-wing populist parties, but I doubt it will come to much. The big resentment that fuel the right-wing populists is not anti-Americanism or geopolitics anyway, but immigration.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Wed Feb 11th, 2015 at 01:06:20 AM EST
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