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Be that you are right, but given (1) how easily the wide majorities of northern European populations could be cajoled into a semi-racist attitude towards southern Europeans to support crippling and anti-democratic austerity and "reforms", I have no such trust in the populations, nor do I think them too relevant given that most European states now have professional armies. In addition, seeing how fast and far things escalated in the Ukraine (not a country where the population sat with guns ready either), I disagree that the timeframe must be long.

On the other hand, the unspoken assumption at the start of my scenario, namely that between now and 2017 the EU and the Eurozone already began to fall apart with members leaving and institutions hollowed out, is not one I expect personally: I don't see the end of the Eurozone, either, and for similar reasons. But, if – as some others seem to believe or even wish for – the EU does fall apart, I am certain war is down the line on many fronts, the only question is its timeplan and magnitude.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Tue Feb 10th, 2015 at 12:07:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Perhaps I should mention that in my scenario, the German entry into (limited) war is modelled upon the German entry into the Kosovo War.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Feb 10th, 2015 at 12:43:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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