Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Its hard to sit writing in Beijing, now at twice the population of my home state of Ohio and still growing, and take it as a certainty.

According to Rosling, China is at its peak. What is more, it has a 200 million decline in the pipeline as larger generations die and smaller are born.

Beijing will probably keep growing though, I think capital size is mostly a reflection of concentration of power.

by fjallstrom on Thu Jul 2nd, 2015 at 03:16:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Its at a peak, which is going to cause a "restucturing" in many sectors, including the University sector (just read a China Daily article about Tsinghua and Peking University trying to steal each other's top applicants) ...
... but my comment was not regarding current trends and projections, but regarding how certain we can be about how closely the outcome will follow the projection. There are quite a large number of one child families with the child born when the mother is relatively young, and so over the coming decade a Baby Boom of fairly impressive absolute magnitude is feasible, even if social norms lean against it at present.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Thu Jul 2nd, 2015 at 10:08:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]


Top Diaries

Occasional Series