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Yea, another couple of weeks and Labour might make this competitive. But given the way that the population is clumped, you'd need a Labour lead of 5% or so for Labour to come out even

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Jun 5th, 2017 at 05:03:25 PM EST
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The YouGov polls are claiming to account for constituency balance. I don't know how much to trust them, but the fact there's so much variation in the polls is an interesting data point in itself.

My suspicion is that May's career is already over. She started with an unassailable lead that should have sealed the deal on Brexit, and she has thrown it away by running the most spectacular train wreck of a campaign in post-war British history.

She may still win, but questions will certainly be asked if she suddenly emerges from her current position with the hundred and fifty seat majority she was hoping for.

Corbyn meanwhile has become more and more credible, and has run a very tight campaign. Even the most dedicated PLP Blairites are having a hard time pretending that Yvette Cooper, Andy Burnham, or that Smith bloke could have done better.

I've never known a campaign that was more hard-fought and more polarised. The future of the country really is at stake, and there have been huge and heroic efforts to get the left message out.

It may not be enough against an institutionally biased and hostile BBC and press, but it's certainly made everyone I know far more political and far more involved than they would usually be.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue Jun 6th, 2017 at 12:58:49 AM EST
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At least I'll still get the chance to read the Corbyn book by Richard Seymour without getting the ending spoiled.
by generic on Tue Jun 6th, 2017 at 05:37:58 AM EST
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