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Présidentielle: Macron serait en tête avec plus de 60% (direct)
Voici les premières tendances du second tour que « Le Soir » a pu se procurer à bonnes sources, sur base de sondages « jour du vote »  : selon quatre instituts différents, Emmanuel Macron arriverait largement en tête de l'élection présidentielle, avec un score supérieur à 60%. Le nombre de votes blancs et nuls serait important.

Précision : il s'agit de sondages réalisés ce dimanche. Les estimations sur base des premiers dépouillements ne seront pas disponibles avant 19h, heure de fermeture des premiers bureaux.

by gk (gk (gk quattro due due sette @gmail.com)) on Sun May 7th, 2017 at 02:37:27 PM EST
Why bother to vote null when you can just abstain and have a beer instead?

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun May 7th, 2017 at 02:43:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Perhaps to register your disapproval of both candidates?
by fjallstrom on Sun May 7th, 2017 at 03:37:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually, though it is traditional in France to speak of "blancs et nuls" as being indistinguishable, this is the first election in France where they are reported separately. A first step towards the actual recognition of the "vote blanc".
At my counting table, in the first round, we had two "blancs" (one an empty envelope, the other had a piece of blank paper), and one "nul" (the envelope contained a bulletin each for Fillon and Le Pen, which delighted all four of us).

I'm picking about 10% "blancs" this time, which will be historic.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Sun May 7th, 2017 at 04:15:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
From my projections, I picked Macron 81 / 19 Le Pen in my polling place (Macron won big, 36%, in the first round, Le Pen got 7%).

I haven't seen the final numbers -- for some reason, they take hours to consolidate and publish the count we finished three hours ago -- But from the counting sheets I saw, she got less than that : about 13%. Macron about 81, and 6% "blancs".

The lesson I take from this, is that in an area where Le Pen has a low first-round score, her attractivity is lower than it is elsewhere (for example, a lower percentage of LR voters voted for her in my district than nationally)

All reinforces the fact that the FN vote is strongly socio-economic and territorial, and Macron, who certainly understands this, will need to do the opposite of his professed economic policies in order to turn it around.

How first-round votes migrated in the second round (Ipsos poll)

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Sun May 7th, 2017 at 10:27:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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