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It's not my own modest participation that's discouraging me : clearly, Diem25 and European Spring are not gaining traction fast enough to make a real difference in 2019 -- but that's much as I expected.
It's more the crisis of representative democracy as a whole. It turns out to be one of those things that only works when the economy is booming and most people have at least realistic prospects of a bigger share of a growing cake.
And it's the Gilets Jaunes thing which has obliged me to face the unpalatable reality : both political parties and voters have grown extremely cynical about parliamentary democracy. In France, as in so many other places, the "government left" has discredited not only itself, but the very idea of the left; the "government right" has been rendered irrelevant by the right-wing radicality of the supposedly centrist government; and the government itself is now highly unpopular.
The fact that a new political movement captured both the presidency and Parliament within a few months of its creation has contributed powerfully to this disillusion with democracy. At first look, it might appear encouraging : democracy works, real change is possible... but by now everyone realises that it was a combination of palace coup and marketing campaign, and feels cheated and bitter.
In short, France is the new Italy. Or perhaps more accurately, the new Czechia or Romania.
So now, the latest fashionable thing is the "popular initiative referendum" : replacing representative democracy with direct democracy. One is instinctively reticent, one fears that demagogues will manipulate the people in random directions... and one realises that arguing against it is effectively arguing against democracy itself. The People are not mature enough to vote laws? Visibly, they are not mature enough to elect a government either...
Dangerous times, I find my habitual optimism is severely shaken.
It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue
- Queen Elizabeth II
We do not elect our brain surgeons by popular mandate, or allow people without licenses to drive. But anyone can legitimately aspire to run for high office, or hold to account those that do.
In a well run polity "the establishment" is there on merit, is capable of transformation and reform, and is accountable for its actions. Problems arise when they are perceived to act in their own interests and against the best interests of the people as a whole, and when the system for replacing them seems to be broken.
Then the people literally try to take the law into their own hands, protests seek to set a new agenda, and calls for direct democracy rise. Modern technology/social media could, in theory, make all major decisions subject to popular vote, but we have seen how easy it is to manipulate those tools.
Those polities that seem to do best are often smaller, more cohesive, and with a clear national identity and self-confidence which doesn't require the creation of false bogeymen to maintain cohesion and consensus.
But globalisation is undermining much of the basis of that cohesion by increasing economic, social, regional and inter-generational inequality: by setting cities against rural areas, and creating a degree of multiculturalism that many people find disconcerting or threatening.
Diem25 is probably before its time - for most people their national polity is already too remote. But we do need symbols and movements built around what unites rather than divides us. Part of the popularity of the EU in Ireland is the sense that it keeps our own profligate and populist politicians in line, and that only it has the power and scale to regulate global multinationals that could otherwise simple capture our government.
But if the rise of the authoritarian nationalist right teaches us anything, it is that many people yearn for a clearer identity, "stronger" leadership and a sense that the polity is working for them. If the left could appeal to some of that psychology, without compromising its policy programme, it might actually get somewhere.
Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 17 29 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 17 8 comments
by Oui - Oct 15 41 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 14 4 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 15 2 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 14 10 comments
by Oui - Oct 14 16 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 10 71 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 178 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 1729 comments
by Oui - Oct 1541 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 152 comments
by Oui - Oct 1416 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 1410 comments
by IdiotSavant - Oct 144 comments
by Oui - Oct 1142 comments
by ARGeezer - Oct 1111 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 1071 comments
by Oui - Oct 822 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 876 comments
by Oui - Oct 330 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 223 comments
by Oui - Oct 25 comments
by Oui - Oct 1
by Oui - Sep 2872 comments
by ARGeezer - Sep 2729 comments
by gmoke - Sep 26
by Oui - Sep 263 comments