Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
The formal documentation of that dubbed "Project Fear" commences on both sides of the channel (and Irish sea).

Is this

  1. an attempt to change or crystalise public opinion on the current direction?
  2. an attempt to face down the EU27 {!!}
  3. internal politics to face down the 40 to 60 Conservative MPs (and Kate Hoey, Frank Field, et al,  from 'Labour') who think no deal is better than a bad deal (i.e. any practical deal on offer, since June 2016)?
  4. a serious committment to present no-deal as a practical option?

Raab has announced a campaign over the coming months to prepare UK business and families for No Deal.

Raab to flood businesses with `no-deal' Brexit advice

May is about to formally renege on the Backstop agreement, agreed last December (which was made illegal under UK law by the new Trade Bill last Monday).

Theresa May: I will never accept EU's ideas on Irish Brexit border

Sounds like a very dangerous game of "chicken" to me.

by oldremainmer48 on Fri Jul 20th, 2018 at 06:53:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Apologies - the Rabb - FT link is behind a Paywall, but it was the first reference I found. It seems to be under reported!
by oldremainmer48 on Fri Jul 20th, 2018 at 07:22:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Preparing for a "worst case" no deal scenario is a necessary and unavoidable part of any negotiation process. It would be irresponsible and reckless not to do so.

It may also have psychological/political benefits in concentrating people's minds on precisely what is at stake. In that sense it may make swallowing the compromises required for a deal more politically palatable and make everyone more determined to arrive at a deal.

My sense has been that UK preparations for a no deal scenario have been tokenistic to date and more aimed at the psychological benefits. I think the EU preparations have been ore serious, also evidenced by the fact they are headed up by the top Commission administrator known for his ruthless efficiency. Quite a contrast to Davis!

I don't know whether Raab's new energy and focus is driven by a genuine concern that "no deal" is likely, or because it may make it easier to sell to doubters. Either way, it is a win win approach for him to take. As a lawyer, he may appreciate the importance of letting your client know the risks and consequences of losing a case.

Frankly, no one was taking his predecessor seriously. Davis had spent the grand total of 4 hours  negotiating with the EU this year to date.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Jul 20th, 2018 at 08:47:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I just read this, "Theresa May: I will never accept EU's ideas on Irish Brexit border".

The reporter is to be commended for resisting any temptation to editorialize..

Madame May's declaration is a straight-up, stone-cold articulation of clinical psychopathy. Apart from a sting of geographical oxymoronic statements, she accuses EU gov of reneging its commitment to mediating the GFA.

Now, talking shit may fly in one's own kitchen, but that, that, Trump "card" most certainly revoked any consideration of a "future partnership." Ever. "Lying on me," as the ancient afro-americans say, is beyond the pale. The very utterance invalidates the premise of contract in good faith.

Of course, the EU task force anticipated UK reneging on GFA from receipt of the A50 letter. Tory gov political plays are leaves of the open book of malice aforethough. Yet Tory gov has been offered every opportunity to act right, and proved time and again they just cannot do it.

Some of y'all need to get over your christian charity ASAP. Deal with who they are, not with whom you hope they are deep, deep down inside -- simple misguided, "incompetent", childish victims. This is not the case.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Fri Jul 20th, 2018 at 12:35:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
May has just written her own political obituary. If she reneges on her previous agreement to the backstop, there is no point in the EU talking to her. The EU may as well wait until they have another PM to deal with.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Fri Jul 20th, 2018 at 01:16:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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