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Atlanticism is alive and well in the EU aside from grumbling about Iran and Russia sanctions, methinks.
The old guard certainly, we will see how much Spring EU elections tamper with that. Populists (like Gilets Jaunes and 5*M, Podemos, Varoufakis and Labour's Momentum) and neo-fascists like ADF, Front Nationale, Salvini's Lega and the Visigrad group could usher in a more bi-polar phase quite similar to what is happening in the US, where a Bannon-esque hard right with a rapidly crystallising sense of national -and international- identity and the Left struggles to find any shreds of identity other than dissatisfaction with centrist, neoliberal policies of austerity and wealth jnequality.
For Conte to be accepted as coalition Italian prime minister he had to make an avowal of acceptance of America's right to (continue to) co-administer Europe and use its bases as military front line for African imperial adventuring, stepping stones to the ME, and as convenient locations from which to needle Putin.
With the Caribbean basin shaping up to be the new ME,  with Venezuela a new Saudi Arabia, perhaps the new friction points with China and Russia there will necessitate backing off from the ME somewhat and thus lowering pressure on Europe to carry so much water, leaving Israel and Saudi to run things.
Hubris being what it is, America may well try and maintain two hot fronts at once, but so far Putin -and Lavrov- have put the kybosh on annihilating Iran for the moment anyway. Leaving Ukraine festering and Erdogan chewing on his bit to finish off the Kurds as enough creative chaos for now.
Should be an interesting year.

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Fri Jan 25th, 2019 at 11:24:56 AM EST
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Excellent analysis and quite concise ... worthy to get attention as a stand alone diary. 😊

Global Warming - distance between America and Europe is steadily increasing.
by Oui on Fri Jan 25th, 2019 at 12:24:30 PM EST
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