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The most immediate effect of a hard Brexit on headline GDP would probably be the movement abroad of trillions in assets by London based banks financial services companies. The disruption of JIT production processes and movement of time sensitive fresh produce would be secondary to this. I don't think there has even been a serious attempt to estimate tertiary effects.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Jan 7th, 2019 at 04:45:49 PM EST
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