Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

Several states have tendered notices to EU ascension under the TEU since landmark 1998 single currency and TFEU mandates, for example. Case, controversy, referendums, "association agreements" have ensued and are decided.

No other EU-state but UK has ever tendered a notice of secession (A.50 TEU). By exercising its prerogative UK gov provides the first Opportunity for EU institutions to test the political integrity of the TEU, the legal instrument; keyword: union.

What are its Strengths?
What are its Weaknesses?
What are Threats? (read: challenges to supremacy of EU gov authorities that are internal and external origins, tangible and intangible matters)

Together with the ECJ the EU Council is deciding precedent, or model formula, for disposition of A.50 ahh "intentions" of contracting parties to the TEU. To the extent any future petition may be said peculiar, decision rules adopted in this case will establish procedural limits.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Thu Oct 3rd, 2019 at 02:39:18 PM EST
From the EU's perspective Brexit offers a number of opportunities:

  1. To show unity and strength of purpose when presented with a threat
  2. To show solidarity with a smaller member most adversely effected by Brexit
  3. To demonstrate the benefits of membership as opposed to impending non membership
  4. To create precedents and a clear process for any future A.50 invocations
  5. And in the case of an existential challenge to its own future by a major ex-member in league with a hostile foreign power, to show just how powerful the EU can be in defence of common interests.

No deal means economic war

Either the EU sees off the challenge of a powerful ex-member flouting its own rules and all Treaty obligations or it caves in and undermines its own raison d'etre. It is difficult to overstate just how serious this could get.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Oct 3rd, 2019 at 09:14:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, eonomic war. I really don't think that the brexiteers have quite realised that yet. Or, if they do, they cannot grasp the implications.

Underlying all their vainglorios blatherings has been the assumption of an equivalence of power between the EU and the UK. This is the real danger of their empire nostalgia, that they simply do not grasp the UK's (or more accurately, England's) reduced circumstances.

One of the great drivers of Britain wanting to join the Common Market during the 60s was the realisation at the top of government that a post-Empire Britain was failing. Despite the much vaunted 60s mythology of a country forged and re-tempering itself in the "white heat of the technological revolution", the UK was stagnant economically. Wiser heads back then knew we HAD to join with Europe or go under.

The UK is about to experience an economic nuclear winter through the stupidity and greed of political classes.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri Oct 4th, 2019 at 11:24:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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