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In the average of 21 polls taken over the past two weeks - since the general election was called, the Tories have gained 3% (from 38->41%), Labour 2% (27->29%), the Lib Dems have lost 1% (16->15%) and the Brexit Part has lost 4% (10->6%) compared to the average of 11 polls taken before the election was called. So we have the usual pattern of the larger parties squeezing the smaller parties as the polling date draws near - exacerbated by the Brexit party taking itself out of the running in half the constituencies. So no major swing in momentum - although it is hard to see the Tories not getting an overall majority if they manage to get anything near 40% of the vote. Still 4 weeks to go, and a lot can change, but it is now the Tories election to lose... [Data Source - Wikipedia]

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Nov 19th, 2019 at 07:26:58 PM EST

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