Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
An overall majority is probably unlikely, but beecoming the largest party is well within the bounds of possibility.

Boris is becoming a massive liablity on the campaign trail, he is nothing like as popular as the media think he is and I'm reading stories every day of how they cover up gaffes on his behalf (Cenotaph being the most flagrant). And they have nobody else !!!!

His reception in flood hit areas of Yorkshire could cause a collapse in a reliably tory area. Even if those votes go to the LibDems, the Westminster beneficiaries are likely to be Labour.

turnout is key. Polls can only go on past performance, but Labour are most popular with the young and it really depends if they, the most fickle of voters, turn out on the day. If turnout goes over 70% then Corbyn will walk into number 10.

Now I fully conncede 70% is unprecedented in recent history, but such has been the alienation of the young that I actually wouldn't be surprised.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 08:57:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How will the Dec 12 date, foul weather, and the fact that some students are going home from college around then effect their vote?

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 09:00:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
FSM only knows.

However, legally you can be registered in more than one constiuency, but you may only vote in one. So students are currently being briefed on where to vote for maximum effect.


keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 09:57:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They can always adopt the Sinn Fein motto: "Vote Early, Vote Often!"

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 10:55:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Recently, yes it has been below 70%, but far as I can find every UK general election between 1922 and 1997 had a participation rate above 70%. Then it suddenly went below 60% and still have not quite recovered though recently it has approached 70% again.

Maybe, and this is just a theory, but maybe a system of elected government that promotes a two party system, needs the two major parties to actually be different for people to come out and vote.

by fjallstrom on Fri Nov 15th, 2019 at 12:14:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Turnout at the 2017 General Election was 68.8% and was the fourth successive election where turnout increased. The highest turnout recorded at a UK general election over the last 100 years was in 1950, 83.9%.




Things are going to slide, slide in all directions
Won't be nothing, nothing you can measure anymore
L. Cohen
by john_evans (john(dot)evans(dot)et(at)gmail(dot)com) on Fri Nov 15th, 2019 at 08:25:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display: