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An overall majority is probably unlikely, but beecoming the largest party is well within the bounds of possibility.

Boris is becoming a massive liablity on the campaign trail, he is nothing like as popular as the media think he is and I'm reading stories every day of how they cover up gaffes on his behalf (Cenotaph being the most flagrant). And they have nobody else !!!!

His reception in flood hit areas of Yorkshire could cause a collapse in a reliably tory area. Even if those votes go to the LibDems, the Westminster beneficiaries are likely to be Labour.

turnout is key. Polls can only go on past performance, but Labour are most popular with the young and it really depends if they, the most fickle of voters, turn out on the day. If turnout goes over 70% then Corbyn will walk into number 10.

Now I fully conncede 70% is unprecedented in recent history, but such has been the alienation of the young that I actually wouldn't be surprised.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Nov 14th, 2019 at 08:57:04 PM EST
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